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Toppserien Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Toppserien

Find value bets for Toppserien fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Wed 1st, 13:00
HT Result
Home
4.50 Fair: 3.10 Bet365
+45.16%
Model: 32.3%
FT Result
Home
4.10 Fair: 3.42 Betfair Exchange
+19.88%
Model: 29.2%
BTTS
Yes
1.67 Fair: 1.59 Betfair Exchange
+5.03%
Model: 62.8%
Wed 1st, 15:00
HT Result
Home
10.00 Fair: 7.06 Bet365
+41.64%
Model: 14.2%
FT Result
Home
18.00 Fair: 14.75 1xBet
+22.03%
Model: 6.8%
HT Result
Draw
3.50 Fair: 3.29 Bet365
+6.38%
Model: 30.4%
FT Result
Draw
9.50 Fair: 9.22 1xBet
+3.04%
Model: 10.9%
FT Result
Away
1.23 Fair: 1.21 Pinnacle
+1.65%
Model: 82.4%
FT Result
Away
2.08 Fair: 1.79 Betfair Exchange
+16.2%
Model: 55.9%
BTTS
No
2.52 Fair: 2.35 Betfair Exchange
+7.23%
Model: 42.6%
Wed 1st, 15:00
FT Result
Away
3.05 Fair: 2.29 Betfair Exchange
+33.19%
Model: 43.7%
HT Result
Away
3.59 Fair: 2.78 1xBet
+29.14%
Model: 35.9%
Double Chance
Draw Away
1.62 Fair: 1.48 WilliamHill
+9.46%
Model: 67.7%
Wed 1st, 15:00
FT Result
Away
13.50 Fair: 4.85 Betfair Exchange
+178.35%
Model: 20.6%
HT Result
Away
9.50 Fair: 4.78 Bet365
+98.74%
Model: 20.9%
Double Chance
Draw Away
3.80 Fair: 2.37 WilliamHill
+60.34%
Model: 42.2%
FT Result
Draw
6.00 Fair: 4.63 Pinnacle
+29.59%
Model: 21.6%
BTTS
Yes
2.22 Fair: 1.80 Betfair Exchange
+23.33%
Model: 55.6%
HT Result
Draw
2.90 Fair: 2.78 Kambi Group
+4.32%
Model: 36%
Wed 1st, 15:00
FT Result
Away
13.00 Fair: 6.43 Betfair Exchange
+102.18%
Model: 15.6%
HT Result
Away
9.00 Fair: 4.97 Bet365
+81.09%
Model: 20.1%
FT Result
Draw
8.34 Fair: 5.01 Pinnacle
+66.47%
Model: 20%
Double Chance
Draw Away
3.75 Fair: 2.82 Bet365
+32.98%
Model: 35.5%
HT Result
Draw
3.10 Fair: 2.79 Bet365
+11.11%
Model: 35.9%
BTTS
Yes
2.00 Fair: 1.89 Betfair Exchange
+5.82%
Model: 53%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

  • 0-5% - Small value edge
  • 5-10% - Good value
  • 10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.