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Superliga Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Superliga

Find value bets for Superliga fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Fri 3rd, 18:30
FT Result
Home
4.02 Fair: 2.44 Pinnacle
+64.75%
Model: 40.9%
HT Result
Home
4.64 Fair: 3.20 1xBet
+45%
Model: 31.2%
Double Chance
Home Draw
1.88 Fair: 1.49 1xBet
+26.17%
Model: 67.1%
BTTS
Yes
1.81 Fair: 1.77 Kambi Group
+2.26%
Model: 56.5%
Sat 4th, 13:00
FT Result
Home
2.48 Fair: 2.19 Pinnacle
+13.24%
Model: 45.6%
HT Result
Home
3.20 Fair: 3.00 Pinnacle
+6.67%
Model: 33.3%
Double Chance
Home Draw
1.42 Fair: 1.37 1xBet
+3.65%
Model: 72.8%
Sat 4th, 17:30
HT Result
Home
4.26 Fair: 3.42 1xBet
+24.56%
Model: 29.3%
FT Result
Home
3.24 Fair: 2.87 Pinnacle
+12.89%
Model: 34.8%
BTTS
Yes
2.25 Fair: 2.14 Bet365
+5.14%
Model: 46.8%
Double Chance
Home Draw
1.55 Fair: 1.54 WilliamHill
+0.65%
Model: 64.7%
Sun 5th, 13:00
HT Result
Away
8.00 Fair: 5.24 WilliamHill
+52.67%
Model: 19.1%
FT Result
Away
8.61 Fair: 6.60 Pinnacle
+30.45%
Model: 15.2%
Double Chance
Draw Away
2.90 Fair: 2.71 WilliamHill
+7.01%
Model: 36.9%
FT Result
Draw
4.76 Fair: 4.61 Pinnacle
+3.25%
Model: 21.7%
HT Result
Draw
2.52 Fair: 2.50 Pinnacle
+0.8%
Model: 40%
BTTS
Yes
2.03 Fair: 2.02 1xBet
+0.5%
Model: 49.4%
FT Result
Away
4.60 Fair: 3.47 Kambi Group
+32.56%
Model: 28.9%
Double Chance
Draw Away
2.00 Fair: 1.81 Kambi Group
+10.5%
Model: 55.3%
HT Result
Away
4.60 Fair: 4.35 Kambi Group
+5.75%
Model: 23%
FT Result
Draw
3.98 Fair: 3.78 Pinnacle
+5.29%
Model: 26.5%
BTTS
Yes
1.85 Fair: 1.84 WilliamHill
+0.54%
Model: 54.4%
FT Result
Away
3.90 Fair: 2.96 Kambi Group
+31.76%
Model: 33.7%
Double Chance
Draw Away
1.78 Fair: 1.61 Kambi Group
+10.56%
Model: 62%
HT Result
Away
4.35 Fair: 3.97 1xBet
+9.57%
Model: 25.2%
Mon 6th, 15:30
HT Result
Away
4.83 Fair: 4.05 1xBet
+19.26%
Model: 24.7%
FT Result
Away
4.04 Fair: 3.46 Pinnacle
+16.76%
Model: 28.9%
Double Chance
Draw Away
1.83 Fair: 1.76 WilliamHill
+3.98%
Model: 56.7%
HT Result
Away
4.92 Fair: 4.47 Pinnacle
+10.07%
Model: 22.4%
FT Result
Home
1.94 Fair: 1.91 Kambi Group
+1.57%
Model: 52.4%
Fri 10th, 17:00
FT Result
Away
2.75 Fair: 2.73 1xBet
+0.73%
Model: 36.6%
Sat 11th, 18:00
FT Result
Away
7.46 Fair: 4.63 1xBet
+61.12%
Model: 21.6%
Sun 12th, 16:15
FT Result
Away
2.65 Fair: 2.42 1xBet
+9.5%
Model: 41.3%
Mon 13th, 13:30
FT Result
Home
3.56 Fair: 3.22 1xBet
+10.56%
Model: 31.1%
Mon 13th, 16:30
FT Result
Away
4.38 Fair: 3.53 1xBet
+24.08%
Model: 28.3%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

  • 0-5% - Small value edge
  • 5-10% - Good value
  • 10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.