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Superliga Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Superliga

Find value bets for Superliga fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Fri 24th, 16:30
FT Result
Home
2.16 Fair: 2.09 Betfair Exchange
+3.35%
Model: 47.7%
BTTS
No
2.04 Fair: 2.00 Betfair Exchange
+2%
Model: 50%
HT Result
Draw
2.18 Fair: 2.16 Pinnacle
+0.93%
Model: 46.2%
Double Chance
Home Draw
1.33 Fair: 1.32 Bet365
+0.76%
Model: 75.9%
Fri 24th, 19:30
FT Result
Away
3.60 Fair: 2.99 Betfair Exchange
+20.4%
Model: 33.4%
HT Result
Away
4.52 Fair: 4.12 1xBet
+9.71%
Model: 24.3%
BTTS
Yes
2.14 Fair: 1.97 Kambi Group
+8.63%
Model: 50.7%
Double Chance
Draw Away
1.65 Fair: 1.62 WilliamHill
+1.85%
Model: 61.7%
FT Result
Away
3.50 Fair: 2.81 Betfair Exchange
+24.56%
Model: 35.6%
HT Result
Away
4.33 Fair: 3.80 Bet365
+13.95%
Model: 26.4%
Double Chance
Draw Away
1.67 Fair: 1.63 WilliamHill
+2.45%
Model: 61.3%
BTTS
No
2.00 Fair: 1.96 Betfair Exchange
+2.04%
Model: 51.1%
FT Result
Away
2.63 Fair: 2.60 Kambi Group
+1.15%
Model: 38.5%
Sun 26th, 15:30
FT Result
Home
2.90 Fair: 2.11 Betano
+37.44%
Model: 47.3%
HT Result
Home
3.72 Fair: 3.06 1xBet
+21.57%
Model: 32.7%
Double Chance
Home Draw
1.53 Fair: 1.33 Bet365
+15.04%
Model: 75%
Sun 26th, 18:30
FT Result
Home
5.30 Fair: 3.64 Betfair Exchange
+45.6%
Model: 27.5%
HT Result
Home
5.50 Fair: 4.43 Bet365
+24.15%
Model: 22.6%
Double Chance
Home Draw
2.12 Fair: 1.85 1xBet
+14.59%
Model: 54%
FT Result
Draw
3.90 Fair: 3.77 FanDuel
+3.45%
Model: 26.6%
HT Result
Draw
2.32 Fair: 2.28 Pinnacle
+1.75%
Model: 43.9%
Mon 27th, 16:30
FT Result
Away
5.30 Fair: 3.11 Betfair Exchange
+70.42%
Model: 32.2%
HT Result
Away
5.50 Fair: 4.04 1xBet
+36.14%
Model: 24.8%
Double Chance
Draw Away
2.12 Fair: 1.69 1xBet
+25.44%
Model: 59.1%
HT Result
Draw
2.31 Fair: 2.20 Pinnacle
+5%
Model: 45.4%
FT Result
Draw
3.80 Fair: 3.72 FanDuel
+2.15%
Model: 26.9%
Mon 27th, 19:30
FT Result
Home
3.05 Fair: 2.57 Betfair Exchange
+18.68%
Model: 38.9%
HT Result
Home
3.80 Fair: 3.51 1xBet
+8.26%
Model: 28.5%
Double Chance
Home Draw
1.55 Fair: 1.53 WilliamHill
+1.31%
Model: 65.3%
Fri 31st, 19:30
FT Result
Home
3.36 Fair: 2.76 1xBet
+21.74%
Model: 36.3%
Sat 1st, 16:30
FT Result
Home
2.60 Fair: 2.22 1xBet
+17.12%
Model: 45.1%
FT Result
Away
7.04 Fair: 6.00 1xBet
+17.33%
Model: 16.7%
Sun 2nd, 16:30
FT Result
Away
4.00 Fair: 3.25 FanDuel
+23.08%
Model: 30.8%
BTTS
Yes
1.99 Fair: 1.95 1xBet
+2.05%
Model: 51.2%
FT Result
Draw
3.50 Fair: 3.48 Betano
+0.57%
Model: 28.8%
Sun 2nd, 19:30
FT Result
Away
3.50 Fair: 3.00 FanDuel
+16.67%
Model: 33.4%
Mon 3rd, 19:30
FT Result
Home
1.78 Fair: 1.66 Betano
+7.23%
Model: 60.2%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

  • 0-5% - Small value edge
  • 5-10% - Good value
  • 10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.