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  1. Football Leagues
  2. Germany
  3. Bundesliga
  4. Profit

Betting on Bundesliga

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: Bundesliga

This page will show you how profitable betting on the Bundesliga in Germany has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
405 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-736.6
169/405 won
 41.73% £-1287.9
67/298 won (22.48%)
Draw £49.7
102/405 won
 25.19% £-682.7
56/351 won (15.95%)
Away Win £-314.7
134/405 won
 33.09% £-1054.7
56/322 won (17.39%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024/2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
405 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-348.9
25/81 won
 30.86% £-395.4
11/67 won (16.42%)
Draw £134.1
24/81 won
 29.63% £-14.6
13/67 won (19.4%)
Away Win £100.8
32/81 won
 39.51% £-70.2
17/64 won (26.56%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025/2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
405 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-438.4
134/306 won
 43.79% £-841.3
55/222 won (24.77%)
Draw £-56.4
75/306 won
 24.51% £-554.4
42/268 won (15.67%)
Away Win £-378.6
97/306 won
 31.7% £-949.6
36/242 won (14.88%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2026/2027 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
405 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £50.7
10/18 won
 55.56% £-51.2
1/9 won (11.11%)
Draw £-28
3/18 won
 16.67% £-113.7
1/16 won (6.25%)
Away Win £-36.9
5/18 won
 27.78% £-34.9
3/16 won (18.75%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.