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Betting on Primera Division

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: Primera Division

This page will show you how profitable betting on the Primera Division in Guatemala has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
332 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £43.7
208/332 won
62.65% £-306.4
78/189 won (41.27%)
Draw £-480.2
76/332 won
22.89% £-1067.1
35/269 won (13.01%)
Away Win £-1211.9
48/332 won
14.46% £-1543
23/286 won (8.04%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024/2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
332 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-39.4
71/115 won
61.74% £-134.7
26/67 won (38.81%)
Draw £-186.5
25/115 won
21.74% £-287.3
15/102 won (14.71%)
Away Win £-317
19/115 won
16.52% £-536.1
8/101 won (7.92%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025/2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
332 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £83.1
137/217 won
63.13% £-171.7
52/122 won (42.62%)
Draw £-293.7
51/217 won
23.5% £-779.8
20/167 won (11.98%)
Away Win £-894.9
29/217 won
13.36% £-1006.9
15/185 won (8.11%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.