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  1. Football Leagues
  2. Hong Kong
  3. First Division
  4. Profit

Betting on First Division

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: First Division

This page will show you how profitable betting on the First Division in Hong Kong has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
245 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-315.5
106/245 won
 43.27% £-713.1
45/180 won (25%)
Draw £-565.8
39/245 won
 15.92% £-1484.1
11/208 won (5.29%)
Away Win £-405.6
100/245 won
 40.82% £-825
40/182 won (21.98%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024/2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
245 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-146.8
41/92 won
 44.57% £-267.7
18/68 won (26.47%)
Draw £-318.1
13/92 won
 14.13% £-592.1
4/81 won (4.94%)
Away Win £-143.9
38/92 won
 41.3% £-264.1
16/70 won (22.86%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025/2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
245 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-168.7
65/153 won
 42.48% £-445.4
27/112 won (24.11%)
Draw £-247.7
26/153 won
 16.99% £-892
7/127 won (5.51%)
Away Win £-261.7
62/153 won
 40.52% £-560.9
24/112 won (21.43%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.