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  1. Football Leagues
  2. Luxembourg
  3. National Division
  4. Profit

Betting on National Division

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: National Division

This page will show you how profitable betting on the National Division in Luxembourg has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
278 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-389.8
115/278 won
 41.37% £-833.2
46/200 won (23%)
Draw £-628.5
53/278 won
 19.06% £-1056.3
25/232 won (10.78%)
Away Win £-108.2
110/278 won
 39.57% £-466.7
47/199 won (23.62%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024/2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
278 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £45.1
17/37 won
 45.95% £-109.7
5/25 won (20%)
Draw £-63
7/37 won
 18.92% £-179.9
3/33 won (9.09%)
Away Win £108.8
13/37 won
 35.14% £83.1
5/29 won (17.24%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025/2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
278 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-245.8
71/175 won
 40.57% £-448.9
36/134 won (26.87%)
Draw £-240
37/175 won
 21.14% £-517.1
18/144 won (12.5%)
Away Win £-145.8
67/175 won
 38.29% £-371.1
32/129 won (24.81%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2026/2027 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
278 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-189.1
27/66 won
 40.91% £-274.6
5/41 won (12.2%)
Draw £-325.5
9/66 won
 13.64% £-359.3
4/55 won (7.27%)
Away Win £-71.2
30/66 won
 45.45% £-178.7
10/41 won (24.39%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.