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  1. Football Leagues
  2. Luxembourg
  3. National Division
  4. Profit

Betting on National Division

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: National Division

This page will show you how profitable betting on the National Division in Luxembourg has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
284 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-338.7
127/284 won
 44.72% £-711
53/198 won (26.77%)
Draw £-488.4
57/284 won
 20.07% £-1200.4
23/235 won (9.79%)
Away Win £-161.8
100/284 won
 35.21% £-564.8
40/207 won (19.32%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024/2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
284 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-231.5
74/163 won
 45.4% £-474.9
27/109 won (24.77%)
Draw £-258.4
33/163 won
 20.25% £-759.4
12/138 won (8.7%)
Away Win £-110.6
56/163 won
 34.36% £-290
21/121 won (17.36%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025/2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
284 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-107.2
53/121 won
 43.8% £-236.1
26/89 won (29.21%)
Draw £-230
24/121 won
 19.83% £-441
11/97 won (11.34%)
Away Win £-51.2
44/121 won
 36.36% £-274.8
19/86 won (22.09%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.