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  1. Football Leagues
  2. Luxembourg
  3. National Division
  4. Profit

Betting on National Division

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: National Division

This page will show you how profitable betting on the National Division in Luxembourg has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
283 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-472
117/283 won
 41.34% £-855.6
51/209 won (24.4%)
Draw £-426.2
57/283 won
 20.14% £-980.9
27/239 won (11.3%)
Away Win £26.8
109/283 won
 38.52% £-400.7
46/207 won (22.22%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024/2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
283 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-124.7
56/125 won
 44.8% £-381.4
20/86 won (23.26%)
Draw £-252.2
23/125 won
 18.4% £-571.3
10/110 won (9.09%)
Away Win £71.7
46/125 won
 36.8% £-110.1
17/93 won (18.28%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025/2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
283 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-347.3
61/158 won
 38.61% £-474.2
31/123 won (25.2%)
Draw £-174
34/158 won
 21.52% £-409.6
17/129 won (13.18%)
Away Win £-44.9
63/158 won
 39.87% £-290.6
29/114 won (25.44%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.