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Betting on Liga de Expansión MX

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: Liga de Expansión MX

This page will show you how profitable betting on the Liga de Expansión MX in Mexico has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
371 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £77.1
186/371 won
50.13% £-592.2
76/258 won (29.46%)
Draw £132.8
106/371 won
28.57% £-537.8
59/321 won (18.38%)
Away Win £-1303.5
79/371 won
21.29% £-1853.3
39/327 won (11.93%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024/2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
371 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £198.4
94/172 won
54.65% £-202.8
37/114 won (32.46%)
Draw £-145.2
45/172 won
26.16% £-277.9
29/156 won (18.59%)
Away Win £-792.4
33/172 won
19.19% £-947.3
17/155 won (10.97%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025/2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
371 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-121.3
92/199 won
46.23% £-389.4
39/144 won (27.08%)
Draw £278
61/199 won
30.65% £-259.9
30/165 won (18.18%)
Away Win £-511.1
46/199 won
23.12% £-906
22/172 won (12.79%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.