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Betting on Major League Soccer

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: Major League Soccer

This page will show you how profitable betting on the Major League Soccer in United States has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
831 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-968.6
376/831 won
45.25% £-2000.2
141/548 won (25.73%)
Draw £-399.7
206/831 won
24.79% £-1359.6
105/643 won (16.33%)
Away Win £-84.7
249/831 won
29.96% £-2398.1
88/613 won (14.36%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
831 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-692.5
216/488 won
44.26% £-1364.3
72/310 won (23.23%)
Draw £-381.4
118/488 won
24.18% £-871.6
58/370 won (15.68%)
Away Win £151.9
154/488 won
31.56% £-1427.7
47/339 won (13.86%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
831 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-276.1
160/343 won
46.65% £-635.9
69/238 won (28.99%)
Draw £-18.3
88/343 won
25.66% £-488
47/273 won (17.22%)
Away Win £-236.6
95/343 won
27.7% £-970.4
41/274 won (14.96%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.