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  1. Football Leagues
  2. United States
  3. Major League Soccer
  4. Profit

Betting on Major League Soccer

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: Major League Soccer

This page will show you how profitable betting on the Major League Soccer in United States has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
749 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-815.5
343/749 won
 45.79% £-1767.5
127/488 won (26.02%)
Draw £-742
176/749 won
 23.5% £-1519.7
89/581 won (15.32%)
Away Win £105.9
230/749 won
 30.71% £-2015.9
80/544 won (14.71%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
749 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £8.3
1/1 won
 100% No alerts fired
Draw £-10
0/1 won
 0% £-10
0/1 won (0%)
Away Win £-10
0/1 won
 0% £-10
0/1 won (0%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
749 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-718.6
237/530 won
 44.72% £-1393.5
86/345 won (24.93%)
Draw £-416.9
128/530 won
 24.15% £-1000.8
63/407 won (15.48%)
Away Win £131.8
165/530 won
 31.13% £-1525.8
52/375 won (13.87%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
749 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-105.2
105/218 won
 48.17% £-374
41/143 won (28.67%)
Draw £-315.1
48/218 won
 22.02% £-508.9
26/173 won (15.03%)
Away Win £-15.9
65/218 won
 29.82% £-480.1
28/168 won (16.67%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.