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  1. Football Leagues
  2. Italy
  3. Serie A
  4. Profit

Betting on Serie A

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: Serie A

This page will show you how profitable betting on the Serie A in Italy has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
513 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-852.5
200/513 won
 38.99% £-1416.8
98/409 won (23.96%)
Draw £-455.1
131/513 won
 25.54% £-1295.5
72/450 won (16%)
Away Win £62.8
182/513 won
 35.48% £-717.1
93/423 won (21.99%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024/2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
513 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-216.7
41/105 won
 39.05% £-319.4
18/82 won (21.95%)
Draw £-51.3
28/105 won
 26.67% £-128
19/96 won (19.79%)
Away Win £-39.3
36/105 won
 34.29% £-323.1
15/84 won (17.86%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025/2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
513 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-547.5
148/380 won
 38.95% £-1026.8
71/301 won (23.59%)
Draw £-257.6
99/380 won
 26.05% £-1028.6
50/328 won (15.24%)
Away Win £39.4
133/380 won
 35% £-486.3
69/315 won (21.9%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2026/2027 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
513 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-88.3
11/28 won
 39.29% £-70.6
9/26 won (34.62%)
Draw £-146.2
4/28 won
 14.29% £-138.9
3/26 won (11.54%)
Away Win £62.7
13/28 won
 46.43% £92.3
9/24 won (37.5%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.