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  1. Football Leagues
  2. Italy
  3. Serie A
  4. Profit

Betting on Serie A

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: Serie A

This page will show you how profitable betting on the Serie A in Italy has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
552 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-781.8
219/552 won
 39.67% £-1346.8
109/439 won (24.83%)
Draw £-327.6
145/552 won
 26.27% £-1179.6
83/486 won (17.08%)
Away Win £-244.6
188/552 won
 34.06% £-1142.3
92/455 won (20.22%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024/2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
552 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-234.3
71/172 won
 41.28% £-320
38/138 won (27.54%)
Draw £-70
46/172 won
 26.74% £-151
33/158 won (20.89%)
Away Win £-284
55/172 won
 31.98% £-656
23/140 won (16.43%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025/2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
552 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-547.5
148/380 won
 38.95% £-1026.8
71/301 won (23.59%)
Draw £-257.6
99/380 won
 26.05% £-1028.6
50/328 won (15.24%)
Away Win £39.4
133/380 won
 35% £-486.3
69/315 won (21.9%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.