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These first half goal predictions come from one rule: our match model has to give a goal before half time a probability of 70% or better. No tipster picks, no gut calls — every fixture in the next 24 hours is scored the same way and only the ones that clear the bar make the list.

Open any match to see the exact probability behind it, then tighten the rule or add another (a team's own first half scoring rate, say, or a price range on over 0.5 first half goals) to see how the list changes. That is the whole point of a filter: the list is yours to shape.

What the First Half Goals filter checks

  • 1H Goal 70%+

Every fixture kicking off in the next 24 hours is tested against each rule; only the matches that pass all of them are listed above, with the actual figure behind every rule shown on the card. The list is rebuilt through the day as odds and form update.

Frequently asked questions

How are first half goal predictions calculated?
Our model prices every market for every fixture from team attack and defence ratings, recent form and league scoring rates. The first half goal probability is the model's estimate that at least one goal is scored before half time. This filter keeps matches at 70% or higher.
What odds should I expect on over 0.5 first half goals?
A 70% probability is a fair price of about 1.43. When a bookmaker offers longer than that, the First Half Goal Value Bets preset picks it up — it only lists matches where the price beats the model.
Is the First Half Goal Predictions list free?
Yes. Anyone can see the first few matches and add rules of their own; a free OddAlerts account unlocks the full list and runs the free preset on the live match feed. Pro runs every preset live with sorting, saved filters and 30-day backtests.

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