OddAlerts | In-Play Football Alerts
Login

Join The Team!

A signing like no other...

Name
Email
Password
Selected Plan:
Pro£19.99/m
Pro w/ API£69.99/m
Season Ticket£179.99
... Close

Enter OddAlerts

Register or Login with Telegram

You can now join OddAlerts using Telegram. If you already have an account with Telegram connected, you can also log in using this button.

A value bet is a price that is longer than the true chance deserves. This list takes every home win priced between 1.90 and 3.20 in the next 24 hours and keeps only the ones where the bookmaker's price is longer than the fair price our model calculates for that fixture.

Each match shows both numbers side by side — the market price and the model price — so you can see the size of the gap, not just that one exists. Sort by the difference, add a form rule to trim the list, or take it to the match feed and set an alert for new qualifiers.

What the Home Value filter checks

  • Home Win 1.9–3.2

Every fixture kicking off in the next 24 hours is tested against each rule; only the matches that pass all of them are listed above, with the actual figure behind every rule shown on the card. The list is rebuilt through the day as odds and form update.

Frequently asked questions

How is the fair price worked out?
The model gives the home win a probability for this fixture; the fair price is 1 divided by that probability. A 40% chance is fair at 2.50. If the market offers 2.80, that is a value bet by 0.30.
Why the 1.90 to 3.20 range?
Below 1.90 the edges are tiny and one bad result wipes out several wins. Above 3.20 the home side is an outsider and the Longshot and Underdog presets cover that ground better.
Is the Home Win Value Bets list free?
Yes. Anyone can see the first few matches and add rules of their own; a free OddAlerts account unlocks the full list and runs the free preset on the live match feed. Pro runs every preset live with alerts, sorting and 30-day backtests.

Related