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Betting on Liga MX

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: Liga MX

This page will show you how profitable betting on the Liga MX in Mexico has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
466 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-192.9
216/466 won
46.35% £-888.2
91/336 won (27.08%)
Draw £-390
114/466 won
24.46% £-1395.5
56/400 won (14%)
Away Win £-482.1
136/466 won
29.18% £-1124.8
75/401 won (18.7%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024/2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
466 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-23.4
35/72 won
48.61% £-61
16/53 won (30.19%)
Draw £-176
16/72 won
22.22% £-354.3
6/61 won (9.84%)
Away Win £-106.5
21/72 won
29.17% £-134.7
11/61 won (18.03%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025/2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
466 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-65.4
158/335 won
47.16% £-708.5
63/237 won (26.58%)
Draw £-121.6
85/335 won
25.37% £-780.7
45/289 won (15.57%)
Away Win £-553.5
92/335 won
27.46% £-1024.3
51/292 won (17.47%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2026/2027 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
466 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-104.1
23/59 won
38.98% £-118.7
12/46 won (26.09%)
Draw £-92.4
13/59 won
22.03% £-260.5
5/50 won (10%)
Away Win £177.9
23/59 won
38.98% £34.2
13/48 won (27.08%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.