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Betting on Liga MX

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: Liga MX

This page will show you how profitable betting on the Liga MX in Mexico has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
518 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £33
250/518 won
48.26% £-811.9
109/374 won (29.14%)
Draw £-547.3
123/518 won
23.75% £-1441
65/450 won (14.44%)
Away Win £-827.1
145/518 won
27.99% £-1417.4
79/449 won (17.59%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024/2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
518 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £78.4
92/185 won
49.73% £-123.4
46/139 won (33.09%)
Draw £-406.7
39/185 won
21.08% £-670.3
20/162 won (12.35%)
Away Win £-271.1
54/185 won
29.19% £-385
29/159 won (18.24%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025/2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
518 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-45.4
158/333 won
47.45% £-688.5
63/235 won (26.81%)
Draw £-140.6
84/333 won
25.23% £-770.7
45/288 won (15.63%)
Away Win £-556
91/333 won
27.33% £-1032.4
50/290 won (17.24%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.