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Betting on Liga MX

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: Liga MX

This page will show you how profitable betting on the Liga MX in Mexico has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
521 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-114
249/521 won
47.79% £-908.8
109/378 won (28.84%)
Draw £-594
124/521 won
23.8% £-1593.1
62/450 won (13.78%)
Away Win £-834.9
148/521 won
28.41% £-1624.9
74/444 won (16.67%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024/2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
521 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-33.8
118/246 won
47.97% £-283.1
58/186 won (31.18%)
Draw £-366.6
57/246 won
23.17% £-788.2
28/213 won (13.15%)
Away Win £-381.9
71/246 won
28.86% £-717.4
34/208 won (16.35%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025/2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
521 games
Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-80.2
131/275 won
47.64% £-625.7
51/192 won (26.56%)
Draw £-227.4
67/275 won
24.36% £-804.9
34/237 won (14.35%)
Away Win £-453
77/275 won
28% £-907.5
40/236 won (16.95%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.