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Win to nil pays much better than the plain home win, and it lands more often than the price suggests when the match-up is right. Home Fortress finds home sides with a high clean sheet rate and a low goals-conceded average at this ground, against visitors who have failed to score in a high share of their away games.

Every match shows the clean sheet rate, the goals conceded and the opponent's failed-to-score figure. Add a home win probability rule from the model if you want the win half of the bet backed up as well.

What the Home Fortress filter checks

  • Clean Sheet % (home) 40%+
  • Goals Conceded (AVG) (last 10, home) under 0.9
  • Failed to Score % (away) 35%+
  • Scored +0.5 % (last 5, away) under 40%

Every fixture kicking off in the next 24 hours is tested against each rule; only the matches that pass all of them are listed above, with the actual figure behind every rule shown on the card. The list is rebuilt through the day as odds and form update.

Frequently asked questions

What does win to nil mean?
The named team wins and the opponent does not score. 1-0, 2-0 and 3-0 all pay; 2-1 does not. It is effectively a home win and BTTS No combined, at a better price than either.
How often do home teams keep a clean sheet?
Roughly 35–40% of the time across Europe's top leagues, but the spread between teams is enormous. Our clean sheets form table ranks every side we track.
Is the Win to Nil & Clean Sheet Predictions list free?
Yes. Anyone can see the first few matches and add rules of their own; a free OddAlerts account unlocks the full list and runs the free preset on the live match feed. Pro runs every preset live with alerts, sorting and 30-day backtests.

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