Data-Driven Match Insights & Betting Value Analysis
Al Fateh and Al Khaleej have shipped a combined 36 goals across their last 20 games, with BTTS landing in 7 of Fateh’s last 10 at home and 9 of Khaleej’s last 10 away. The model gives BTTS a strong 64.1% chance, fitting the mutual defensive frailty.
Home Win: 32.8%Both teams see most action late: Cagliari average 1.6 goals in 2H vs 0.5 in 1H, Atalanta 2.1 vs 1.1, with 7 of each side's last 10 matches having the 2nd half as highest scoring. That supports Highest Scoring Half – 2nd Half at 2.1 over the 1st Half at 3.0.
Both sides have failed to score in 4 of their last 10 and have lost to nil 3 times each, with just 9 conceded apiece in that span. Despite similar low-scoring, tight profiles, Udinese are 4.2 for the win, and the model’s 28.6% away-win probability makes that a +20.2% value play.
United have conceded just 11 in their last 10, while Brentford have shipped only 12 and kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 away games, including three 0-0s in their last 10 overall. Under 2.5 at 2.48 has +4.3% value (model 42.1% vs implied 40.3%).
Espanyol have shipped 23 goals in 10 games (2.3 per match) with 8/10 over 2.5, yet Levante have seen over 2.5 in only 3/10 and failed to score in 4/10. The model makes under 2.5 slightly more likely (51.1%) than the market implies, so Under 2.5 at 1.98 carries +1.1% value.
Al Hilal have scored 26 goals in their last 10 (2.6 per game) and netted in all 10, while Damac average just 0.8 goals in their last 10 away and failed to score in 4 of 10 overall. The model gives Damac over 0.5 goals only a 30.5% chance, supporting angles opposing an away goal.
Peterborough have hit 21 goals in their last 10 (2.1 per game), scoring in 8 of those and in 5 straight, while Mansfield managed just 10 in the same span – a clear attacking mismatch per the comparative data. The model leans Peterborough (home win 45.6% vs 29.7% away), suggesting any generous home‑lean prices could be worth monitoring.
Our model assigns a 42.0% chance of an away win, while the market implies 36.4% (odds 2.75), creating a +5.68% value edge. Bayern have won each of their last five matches, scoring 17 goals and conceding only six, and sit on a five‑game unbeaten streak. Their season away record shows they win 83% of games, score over 2.5 goals in 100% of away fixtures and hit both‑teams‑to‑score in every away match, reinforcing the upside.
Al Taawoun have seen BTTS in 9 of their last 10 games, Al Ittihad in 8 of their last 10 away. Both sides have scored in 9 of their last 10 overall, and the model gives BTTS a strong 61.6% chance, making both defences look very vulnerable.
Al Nassr have conceded just 3 goals in 10 matches, with 8 clean sheets and 8 wins to nil, while Al Ahli have scored in 10 straight. Our model still leans defence: BTTS is only 52.5%, so markets might overrate the ‘both score easily’ narrative.
Al Okhdoud have shipped 25 goals in their last 10 (2.5 per game, five losses by 2+), while Al Ettifaq have conceded 20 in the same span, for 45 goals conceded combined in 20 games. The model gives Over 2.5 Goals a strong 59.4% probability, hinting at an open, error‑prone contest.
Al Kholood have shipped 24 goals in 10 games (2.4 per match) and a -10 goal difference, while Al-Fayha have allowed just 12 in the same span – a clear defensive mismatch. Our model makes Al-Fayha 49.6% to win vs only 25.7% for the hosts, with away_score_first at 54.5%.
BTTS (Both Teams To Score) probability indicates the likelihood that both teams will score at least one goal during the match, based on offensive and defensive statistics. Explore more BTTS statistics and trends across different leagues.
Value edge represents the percentage difference between our AI's calculated probability and the bookmaker's implied odds. A positive value suggests the bet may offer value. Find more opportunities on our value bets page.
Our AI model has been tested on thousands of historical football matches and achieves accuracy rates above industry standards. You can track our performance with our bet tracking tool. However, football is inherently unpredictable and no prediction is guaranteed.
We provide AI predictions for major European leagues including the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, and Championship. View all leagues on our fixtures page.
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OddAlerts is a football analytics platform providing AI-powered predictions since 2020. Our prediction model is developed by sports data scientists and continuously refined using machine learning techniques. We analyze over 100,000 matches annually across 2,500+ leagues to provide the most accurate and valuable insights. Discover trends, explore custom filters, or join thousands using our alert system.
