Win, draw and away chances, both teams to score, goals and the likeliest score for every Championship match this week. Every prediction is checked against the final score, in public.
131 finished matches graded over the last 90 days. See the full record
Wolverhampton Wanderers shade it at 50%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-1.
Middlesbrough shade it at 42%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Sheffield United shade it at 46%. Both teams to score at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Portsmouth 38%, Millwall 35%. Over 2.5 at 50%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: Charlton Athletic 39%, Norwich City 35%. Over 2.5 at 53%, likeliest score 1-1.
Try another day or league, or clear the search.
131 matches graded · refreshed every few hours
Bristol City
Sheffield United
Model pickBristol City 40%
0-1
Missed
Swansea City
West Ham United
Model pickWest Ham United 42%
0-1
Correct
Derby County
Stoke City
Model pickDerby County 37%
0-1
Missed
West Bromwich Albion
Blackburn Rovers
Model pickWest Bromwich Albion 41%
3-2
Correct
Southampton
Bolton Wanderers
Model pickSouthampton 55%
0-0
Missed
Wrexham
Preston North End
Model pickWrexham 46%
4-1
Correct
Birmingham City
Queens Park Rangers
Model pickBirmingham City 45%
3-0
Correct
Norwich City
Portsmouth
Model pickNorwich City 54%
0-1
Missed
The model blends Championship team form, expected goals (xG), goal timing and head-to-heads with live bookmaker odds to price every outcome of every match.
Each match is simulated 100,000 times for scorelines, goal lines and both teams to score. Open the match simulator to watch one play out.
Every finished match is scored against the result and fed into the record above, so you can judge the numbers before you use them.
Championship predictions are about volatility. There are no obvious 'big six' in the EFL Championship — the spread of quality is tight, fixture congestion is brutal, and home advantage is the strongest in English football. Our Championship model leans on form over reputation, weights recent xG harder than the season average, and is much more aggressive about flagging draws and BTTS in fixtures where promoted sides face established Championship clubs.
AI Championship predictions are match forecasts made by a statistical model rather than a pundit. For every match ours gives the chance of a home win, draw and away win, both teams to score, over and under 2.5 goals and the likeliest exact scores, then compares those numbers with the bookmakers.
Over the last 90 days we graded 131 finished Championship matches against the final score. The model's pick for the match result was right 40.5% of the time (picking at random would be about 33%), and 0% of the time when it was at least 60% sure. Both teams to score calls were right 51.9% of the time and over/under 2.5 goals 49.6%.
Chatbots like ChatGPT can write a convincing preview, but they are language models: they have no live odds, no injury feed and no calibrated sense of probability, and they tend to back the favourite. Our numbers come from a statistical model built on form, expected goals (xG), goal timing, head-to-heads and live bookmaker prices. AI language models only write the match previews, from those numbers.
The one that publishes its record. Look for two things: every pick graded against the result, not a highlight reel, and probabilities that are calibrated, so a 70% call wins about seven times in ten. We show both on this page, updated every few hours.
Yes. Win, draw and away chances, both teams to score, over and under 2.5 goals, the likeliest score, a written verdict and a 100,000-run simulation are free for every match. Pro adds every goal line and team total, ranking by model edge, probability filters and the full AI match report.
The model combines Championship team form, expected goals (xG), goal-timing data, head-to-head records and live bookmaker odds to price every outcome. Each match is then simulated 100,000 times to produce scorelines and goal lines. It re-runs every few hours and again as kick-off approaches, so the numbers follow team news and price moves.
The gap between the model's probability and the bookmaker's. If the model gives a team a 55% chance and the odds imply 48%, that is a +7% edge: the bookmaker is pricing the outcome lower than the model expects. Positive edges are what value bettors look for.
Every Championship match with bookmaker odds in the next seven days, plus every other covered league on the all-leagues page.
Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Please gamble responsibly, 18+.
