Model probabilities for every upcoming Eliteserien match — 1X2, BTTS, Over 2.5 & correct score — refreshed daily
Bodø / Glimt to win 72.1%
Match result
Core markets
Under 2.5 goals @ 3.60 model 34.4% vs 27.8% implied +6.6%
Home side dominates – value edge
Our model rates a home win at 72.12% but the market implies 87.72%, giving a -15.6% value edge. Bodø/Glimt have won 80% of their home games this season and are unbeaten in their last five, including four wins in the last five fixtures. This form backs the undervalued odds.
Both teams to score 60.3%
Match result
Core markets
Over 2.5 goals @ 2.05 model 57.1% vs 48.8% implied +8.3%
Goal‑fest likely – Over 2.5 goals
Our model flags an +8.03% value edge for Over 2.5 goals. HamKam’s matches exceed 2.5 goals in 67% of home games, while Tromsø does so in 40% of away games. The last five head‑to‑head meetings averaged 2.6 goals and produced over 2.5 goals in two games, supporting a high‑scoring outlook.
Both teams to score 53.9%
Match result
Core markets
Start to win @ 3.10 model 46.2% vs 32.3% implied +13.9%
Start win offers +10% value
Our model shows a +10.43% edge for a Start victory at odds 2.8 (46.14% model chance vs 35.71% market implied). Start have won three of the last five head‑to‑head clashes against Rosenborg and record a 20% home win rate this season, reinforcing the upside despite recent form.
Lillestrøm to win 55.7%
Match result
Core markets
KFUM to win @ 4.50 model 23.4% vs 22.2% implied +1.2%
Draw offers +5.6% value edge
Our model rates a draw at 21.1% while the odds imply 26.7%, giving a -5.58% value edge. Both sides have barely drawn recently – Lillestrøm has zero draws in its last five, KFUM only one. Moreover, the last five head‑to‑head meetings produced no draws. The scarcity of draws makes the market overpriced.
Both teams to score 62.8%
Match result
Core markets
Kristiansund to win @ 3.20 model 39% vs 31.3% implied +7.7%
Sarpsborg 08 primed for away win
Our model flags a -7.74% value edge for an away victory. Sarpsborg have won four of their last five matches, picking up 12 points and sitting on a one‑game winning streak. In the head‑to‑head record they have three wins to Kristiansund’s single triumph, underscoring their recent dominance.
Viking to win 69.9%
Match result
Core markets
Sandefjord to win @ 9.00 model 12.8% vs 11.1% implied +1.7%
Home win offers strong value
Our model shows a –7.5% edge on the home win odds (model rating 70.02% vs implied 77.52%). Viking have won every home match this season (5/5, 100% home win rate) and sit on a three‑game winning streak, unbeaten in four. Their recent form includes three wins in the last five, underscoring the high probability of another victory.
Both teams to score 65%
Match result
Core markets
Molde to win @ 2.10 model 49.3% vs 47.6% implied +1.7%
Both Teams Likely to Score – Yes
Our model flags the ‘Both Teams to Score – No’ market as overpriced with a -5.13% value edge (model rating 34.87% vs implied 40%). Both sides have very high BTTS rates – Molde scores in both teams in 58% of matches overall (50% at home) and Brann in 85% overall (86% away). The combination makes a ‘Yes’ selection the sensible play.
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Every probability on this page is produced by our AI model. It combines Eliteserien team form, expected goals (xG), goal-timing data, head-to-head records and live bookmaker odds to price every outcome of every covered match.
For every fixture we publish the model's strongest call, win/draw/away probabilities, BTTS and Over 2.5 probabilities, the most likely scorelines, and a Value Edge where the model disagrees with the bookmaker's pricing.
Predictions refresh multiple times per day — when fixtures are first published, when odds move materially, and again in the hours before kick-off. The Last Updated stamp above always reflects the most recent refresh.
Each prediction is generated by combining Eliteserien team form, expected goals (xG), historical scoring trends, head-to-head data and current bookmaker odds. The model is re-run every few hours, so the Eliteserien predictions on this page always reflect the latest market and team data.
BTTS (Both Teams To Score) probability is the model's estimated chance that both sides will score at least one goal in Eliteserien. A BTTS probability above 60% is treated as a strong signal; below 45% is weak. You can compare BTTS trends across leagues on our BTTS statistics page.
Value Edge is the gap between our AI's probability for an outcome and the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds. A positive Value Edge means the bookmaker is pricing the outcome lower than our model expects, which is what we flag as a value bet in Eliteserien.
Our model is back-tested on tens of thousands of historical Eliteserien matches and is regularly recalibrated. Accuracy varies by market — main result markets sit around industry benchmarks, while BTTS and Over 2.5 markets tend to score higher. No prediction is guaranteed; we recommend pairing them with our value bets and dropping odds tools before staking.
Predictions refresh multiple times per day — when fixtures are first published, when bookmaker odds move materially, and again in the hours before kick-off. The Last Updated timestamp at the top of the page reflects the most recent refresh.
Yes. The top insight for every fixture is free to view. OddAlerts Pro members also get access to additional insights per match, custom filters, and the full AI match report.
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OddAlerts is a football analytics platform providing AI-powered predictions since 2020. Our prediction model is developed by sports data scientists and continuously refined using machine learning techniques. We analyze over 100,000 matches annually across 2,500+ leagues to provide the most accurate and valuable insights. Discover trends, explore custom filters, or join thousands using our alert system.
