Model probabilities for every upcoming Allsvenskan match — 1X2, BTTS, Over 2.5 & correct score — refreshed daily
Both teams to score 57.5%
Match result
Core markets
Brommapojkarna to win @ 3.75 model 34.9% vs 26.7% implied +8.2%
Away win offers +9.3% value
Our model flags a +9.33% edge on an away victory. Brommapojkarna have won 43% of their away matches and score 1.57 goals per away game. They are unbeaten in their last four fixtures and have a two‑game winning streak. In the last five head‑to‑head meetings they have triumphed four times, including a 3‑1 win last June. The combination of strong away form and dominant H2H record supports the value.
Both teams to score 56.9%
Match result
Core markets
AIK to win @ 2.70 model 43.6% vs 37% implied +6.6%
AIK Home Win +5.4% Edge
Our model shows a +5.38% value edge for an AIK home victory. AIK have won 4 of their last 5 matches and boast a 75% both‑teams‑to‑score rate this season. Moreover, 60% of their home games have gone over 2.5 goals, underscoring their attacking potency at home.
Both teams to score 59.8%
Match result
Core markets
Elfsborg to win @ 3.60 model 31.7% vs 27.8% implied +3.9%
Sirius offers strong value on the win
Our model rates an away win at 43.34% versus the market implied 51.28%, creating a -7.94% value edge. Sirius have won 83% of their games this season and are unbeaten in their last five, scoring 2.75 goals per match. They also secured a 2‑1 away win in the most recent head‑to‑head, though historically Elfsborg lead the series 4‑1.
Hammarby to win 72%
Match result
Core markets
Degerfors to win @ 11.00 model 10.8% vs 9.1% implied +1.7%
Home win offers solid value
Our model flags a –6.70% edge on the home win. Hammarby win 71% of their home games and average 2.29 points per home match. In the last five fixtures they have three victories. Head‑to‑head they lead 3‑0‑2, with no away win in five meetings. The combination of strong home form and historical dominance supports the value.
Djurgården to win 57%
Match result
Core markets
Örgryte to win @ 6.25 model 20.6% vs 16% implied +4.6%
Djurgården to win – strong value
Our model shows a -13.46% value edge for Djurgården to win. They have won 75% of their away games this season and captured 3 victories in their last 5 outings, while Örgryte have only 17% home wins. In the recent head‑to‑head record Djurgården have not won any of the last five meetings, but the overall away form and current odds (1.42) make the bet attractive.
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Every probability on this page is produced by our AI model. It combines Allsvenskan team form, expected goals (xG), goal-timing data, head-to-head records and live bookmaker odds to price every outcome of every covered match.
For every fixture we publish the model's strongest call, win/draw/away probabilities, BTTS and Over 2.5 probabilities, the most likely scorelines, and a Value Edge where the model disagrees with the bookmaker's pricing.
Predictions refresh multiple times per day — when fixtures are first published, when odds move materially, and again in the hours before kick-off. The Last Updated stamp above always reflects the most recent refresh.
Each prediction is generated by combining Allsvenskan team form, expected goals (xG), historical scoring trends, head-to-head data and current bookmaker odds. The model is re-run every few hours, so the Allsvenskan predictions on this page always reflect the latest market and team data.
BTTS (Both Teams To Score) probability is the model's estimated chance that both sides will score at least one goal in Allsvenskan. A BTTS probability above 60% is treated as a strong signal; below 45% is weak. You can compare BTTS trends across leagues on our BTTS statistics page.
Value Edge is the gap between our AI's probability for an outcome and the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds. A positive Value Edge means the bookmaker is pricing the outcome lower than our model expects, which is what we flag as a value bet in Allsvenskan.
Our model is back-tested on tens of thousands of historical Allsvenskan matches and is regularly recalibrated. Accuracy varies by market — main result markets sit around industry benchmarks, while BTTS and Over 2.5 markets tend to score higher. No prediction is guaranteed; we recommend pairing them with our value bets and dropping odds tools before staking.
Predictions refresh multiple times per day — when fixtures are first published, when bookmaker odds move materially, and again in the hours before kick-off. The Last Updated timestamp at the top of the page reflects the most recent refresh.
Yes. The top insight for every fixture is free to view. OddAlerts Pro members also get access to additional insights per match, custom filters, and the full AI match report.
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OddAlerts is a football analytics platform providing AI-powered predictions since 2020. Our prediction model is developed by sports data scientists and continuously refined using machine learning techniques. We analyze over 100,000 matches annually across 2,500+ leagues to provide the most accurate and valuable insights. Discover trends, explore custom filters, or join thousands using our alert system.
