Model probabilities for every upcoming Chinese Super League match — 1X2, BTTS, Over 2.5 & correct score — refreshed daily
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match result
Core markets
Under 2.5 goals @ 2.30 model 55% vs 43.5% implied +11.5%
Under 2.5 goals offers solid value
Our model flags a +9.59% edge for an Under‑2.5‑goals result. Qingdao’s matches go over 2.5 goals only a third of the time at home, and Chengdu exceed that mark in just over half of their games. Both clubs average under 1.5 goals per game (1.33 for Qingdao, 1.78 for Chengdu). Even though the last five head‑to‑heads have produced 3.6 goals on average, the season‑long scoring trends give the under‑2.5 market a clear value advantage.
Both teams to score 60.2%
Match result
Core markets
Under 2.5 goals @ 3.10 model 41.6% vs 32.3% implied +9.3%
No BTTS offers hidden value
Our model shows a +6.51% edge for a No BTTS result. Both sides historically see both teams score in roughly three‑quarters of matches (home 78%, away 76%) and every one of their last five games featured BTTS, yet the market appears to over‑price this outcome.
Both teams to score 63.5%
Match result
Core markets
BTTS: No @ 2.75 model 36.5% vs 36.4% implied +0.1%
Goal fest on the cards
Our model rates the Over 2.5 goals market at 62.8% with a modest –3.85% value edge versus the 1.5 odds. Both sides exceed the 2.5‑goal mark in the majority of their games – the home side does so in 67% of its home matches and the visitors in 72% overall. The recent head‑to‑head meetings have been high‑scoring, averaging 3.33 goals, with two of the three contests already going over 2.5. All signs point to another goal‑rich encounter.
Shanghai Shenhua to win 62.6%
Match result
Core markets
Under 2.5 goals @ 2.50 model 45.6% vs 40% implied +5.6%
Under 2.5 Goals – +7.2% Value Edge
Our model assigns a +7.18% value edge to the Under 2.5‑goals market. Tianjin only exceeds 2.5 goals in 38% of their away matches, showing a tendency for lower‑scoring games when they play away. Coupled with the positive model edge, betting Under 2.5 looks attractive.
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Every probability on this page is produced by our AI model. It combines Chinese Super League team form, expected goals (xG), goal-timing data, head-to-head records and live bookmaker odds to price every outcome of every covered match.
For every fixture we publish the model's strongest call, win/draw/away probabilities, BTTS and Over 2.5 probabilities, the most likely scorelines, and a Value Edge where the model disagrees with the bookmaker's pricing.
Predictions refresh multiple times per day — when fixtures are first published, when odds move materially, and again in the hours before kick-off. The Last Updated stamp above always reflects the most recent refresh.
Each prediction is generated by combining Chinese Super League team form, expected goals (xG), historical scoring trends, head-to-head data and current bookmaker odds. The model is re-run every few hours, so the Chinese Super League predictions on this page always reflect the latest market and team data.
BTTS (Both Teams To Score) probability is the model's estimated chance that both sides will score at least one goal in Chinese Super League. A BTTS probability above 60% is treated as a strong signal; below 45% is weak. You can compare BTTS trends across leagues on our BTTS statistics page.
Value Edge is the gap between our AI's probability for an outcome and the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds. A positive Value Edge means the bookmaker is pricing the outcome lower than our model expects, which is what we flag as a value bet in Chinese Super League.
Our model is back-tested on tens of thousands of historical Chinese Super League matches and is regularly recalibrated. Accuracy varies by market — main result markets sit around industry benchmarks, while BTTS and Over 2.5 markets tend to score higher. No prediction is guaranteed; we recommend pairing them with our value bets and dropping odds tools before staking.
Predictions refresh multiple times per day — when fixtures are first published, when bookmaker odds move materially, and again in the hours before kick-off. The Last Updated timestamp at the top of the page reflects the most recent refresh.
Yes. The top insight for every fixture is free to view. OddAlerts Pro members also get access to additional insights per match, custom filters, and the full AI match report.
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OddAlerts is a football analytics platform providing AI-powered predictions since 2020. Our prediction model is developed by sports data scientists and continuously refined using machine learning techniques. We analyze over 100,000 matches annually across 2,500+ leagues to provide the most accurate and valuable insights. Discover trends, explore custom filters, or join thousands using our alert system.
