Model probabilities for every upcoming Ireland Premier Division match — 1X2, BTTS, Over 2.5 & correct score — refreshed daily
Galway United to win 56.3%
Match result
Core markets
Galway United to win @ 1.90 model 56.3% vs 52.6% implied +3.7%
Away win odds overpriced – steer clear
Our model rates Waterford’s chance at about 20% while the market implies roughly 28%, a -7.77% value gap. Waterford have won only 17% of their away games this season (2 wins in 12 away matches) and average just 1.5 goals per away game. In the last five outings they managed three wins, one draw and one loss, confirming a low probability and making the offered odds unattractive.
Under 2.5 goals 53.9%
Match result
Core markets
Sligo Rovers to win @ 2.70 model 42.9% vs 37% implied +5.9%
Home win offers +5.8% edge
Our model shows a +5.83% value advantage for a Sligo Rovers win. The Rovers are unbeaten in their latest match and win 25% of home games this season, while Drogheda win only 25% of away fixtures. The model also rates an away win -11.92% below the odds, meaning the market overvalues the visitors. Together these points make the home win a clear value pick.
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Every probability on this page is produced by our AI model. It combines Ireland Premier Division team form, expected goals (xG), goal-timing data, head-to-head records and live bookmaker odds to price every outcome of every covered match.
For every fixture we publish the model's strongest call, win/draw/away probabilities, BTTS and Over 2.5 probabilities, the most likely scorelines, and a Value Edge where the model disagrees with the bookmaker's pricing.
Predictions refresh multiple times per day — when fixtures are first published, when odds move materially, and again in the hours before kick-off. The Last Updated stamp above always reflects the most recent refresh.
Each prediction is generated by combining Ireland Premier Division team form, expected goals (xG), historical scoring trends, head-to-head data and current bookmaker odds. The model is re-run every few hours, so the Ireland Premier Division predictions on this page always reflect the latest market and team data.
BTTS (Both Teams To Score) probability is the model's estimated chance that both sides will score at least one goal in Ireland Premier Division. A BTTS probability above 60% is treated as a strong signal; below 45% is weak. You can compare BTTS trends across leagues on our BTTS statistics page.
Value Edge is the gap between our AI's probability for an outcome and the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds. A positive Value Edge means the bookmaker is pricing the outcome lower than our model expects, which is what we flag as a value bet in Ireland Premier Division.
Our model is back-tested on tens of thousands of historical Ireland Premier Division matches and is regularly recalibrated. Accuracy varies by market — main result markets sit around industry benchmarks, while BTTS and Over 2.5 markets tend to score higher. No prediction is guaranteed; we recommend pairing them with our value bets and dropping odds tools before staking.
Predictions refresh multiple times per day — when fixtures are first published, when bookmaker odds move materially, and again in the hours before kick-off. The Last Updated timestamp at the top of the page reflects the most recent refresh.
Yes. The top insight for every fixture is free to view. OddAlerts Pro members also get access to additional insights per match, custom filters, and the full AI match report.
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OddAlerts is a football analytics platform providing AI-powered predictions since 2020. Our prediction model is developed by sports data scientists and continuously refined using machine learning techniques. We analyze over 100,000 matches annually across 2,500+ leagues to provide the most accurate and valuable insights. Discover trends, explore custom filters, or join thousands using our alert system.
