Win, draw and away chances, both teams to score, goals and the likeliest score for every Argentina Liga Profesional match this week. Every prediction is checked against the final score, in public.
184 finished matches graded over the last 90 days. See the full record
Vélez Sarsfield shade it at 53%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-0.
Rosario Central shade it at 46%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 0-1.
Too close to call: Racing Club 36%, Independiente 37%. Over 2.5 at 45%, likeliest score 1-1.
Estudiantes shade it at 58%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 63%, likeliest score 1-0.
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 41%, likeliest score 1-1.
River Plate shade it at 45%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 64%, likeliest score 0-1.
Home win overpriced despite strong form
Our model assigns a 25.45% chance to a Belgrano win while the market implies 36.76%, creating a -11.31% value gap. Belgrano have won 53% of their home games and are unbeaten in their last five, scoring 1.40 goals per match at home. The odds therefore overstate their likelihood of victory.
Newell's Old Boys shade it at 48%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 1-0.
Sarmiento shade it at 38%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 68%, likeliest score 1-0.
Deportivo Riestra shade it at 41%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 65%, likeliest score 1-0.
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza shade it at 45%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-0.
Gimnasia La Plata shade it at 54%. Over 2.5 at 48%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Tigre 40%, Atlético Tucumán 32%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 62%, likeliest score 1-0.
Too close to call: Banfield 37%, Lanús 34%. A tight one, Under 2.5 at 60%, likeliest score 1-1.
Talleres Córdoba shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
San Lorenzo shade it at 40%. Over 2.5 at 42%, likeliest score 1-1.
Try another day or league, or clear the search.
184 matches graded · refreshed every few hours
Every home, draw and away probability, grouped and checked against what actually happened. The closer the dots sit to the line, the more honest the numbers.
| Model said | Happened | Outcomes |
|---|---|---|
| 16.8% | 23.7% | 38 |
| 26.6% | 27.8% | 223 |
| 33.6% | 29.7% | 155 |
| 44.7% | 44.7% | 85 |
| 54.8% | 56.1% | 41 |
Banfield
Argentinos Juniors
Model pickArgentinos Juniors 39%
0-1
Correct
Boca Juniors
Talleres Córdoba
Model pickBoca Juniors 57%
2-1
Correct
Defensa y Justicia
Instituto
Model pickDefensa y Justicia 43%
0-1
Missed
Huracán
Gimnasia La Plata
Model pickHuracán 48%
1-2
Missed
Sarmiento
River Plate
Model pickRiver Plate 51%
1-1
Missed
The model blends Argentina Liga Profesional team form, expected goals (xG), goal timing and head-to-heads with live bookmaker odds to price every outcome of every match.
Each match is simulated 100,000 times for scorelines, goal lines and both teams to score. Open the match simulator to watch one play out.
Every finished match is scored against the result and fed into the record above, so you can judge the numbers before you use them.
AI Argentina Liga Profesional predictions are match forecasts made by a statistical model rather than a pundit. For every match ours gives the chance of a home win, draw and away win, both teams to score, over and under 2.5 goals and the likeliest exact scores, then compares those numbers with the bookmakers.
Over the last 90 days we graded 184 finished Argentina Liga Profesional matches against the final score. The model's pick for the match result was right 46.2% of the time (picking at random would be about 33%), and 66.7% of the time when it was at least 60% sure. Both teams to score calls were right 46.7% of the time and over/under 2.5 goals 56.5%.
Chatbots like ChatGPT can write a convincing preview, but they are language models: they have no live odds, no injury feed and no calibrated sense of probability, and they tend to back the favourite. Our numbers come from a statistical model built on form, expected goals (xG), goal timing, head-to-heads and live bookmaker prices. AI language models only write the match previews, from those numbers.
The one that publishes its record. Look for two things: every pick graded against the result, not a highlight reel, and probabilities that are calibrated, so a 70% call wins about seven times in ten. We show both on this page, updated every few hours.
Yes. Win, draw and away chances, both teams to score, over and under 2.5 goals, the likeliest score, a written verdict and a 100,000-run simulation are free for every match. Pro adds every goal line and team total, ranking by model edge, probability filters and the full AI match report.
The model combines Argentina Liga Profesional team form, expected goals (xG), goal-timing data, head-to-head records and live bookmaker odds to price every outcome. Each match is then simulated 100,000 times to produce scorelines and goal lines. It re-runs every few hours and again as kick-off approaches, so the numbers follow team news and price moves.
The gap between the model's probability and the bookmaker's. If the model gives a team a 55% chance and the odds imply 48%, that is a +7% edge: the bookmaker is pricing the outcome lower than the model expects. Positive edges are what value bettors look for.
Every Argentina Liga Profesional match with bookmaker odds in the next seven days, plus every other covered league on the all-leagues page.
Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Please gamble responsibly, 18+.
Estudiantes
San Lorenzo
Vélez Sarsfield
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Racing Club
Independiente
Atlético Tucumán
Rosario Central