Model probabilities for every upcoming USL Championship match — 1X2, BTTS, Over 2.5 & correct score — refreshed daily
Charleston Battery to win 60.5%
Match result
Core markets
Charleston Battery to win @ 1.83 model 60.5% vs 54.6% implied +5.9%
Home side rides 86% home win rate
Our model shows a +5.93% edge for a home win (model rating 60.57% vs implied 54.64%). Charleston have won 6 of 7 home games – an 86% home win rate – and are on a three‑match winning streak. They also lead the recent head‑to‑head with 2 wins in the last 4 meetings, reinforcing the value.
San Antonio to win 54.1%
Match result
Core markets
Lights unlikely to upset at home
Our model shows a -7.05% value edge for an away win, meaning the odds are not favorable. Las Vegas has won only 14% of its away games this season and managed just 2 wins in its last 5 matches. In the head‑to‑head record they have only one away victory out of five. All signs point to San Antonio prevailing.
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Every probability on this page is produced by our AI model. It combines USL Championship team form, expected goals (xG), goal-timing data, head-to-head records and live bookmaker odds to price every outcome of every covered match.
For every fixture we publish the model's strongest call, win/draw/away probabilities, BTTS and Over 2.5 probabilities, the most likely scorelines, and a Value Edge where the model disagrees with the bookmaker's pricing.
Predictions refresh multiple times per day — when fixtures are first published, when odds move materially, and again in the hours before kick-off. The Last Updated stamp above always reflects the most recent refresh.
Each prediction is generated by combining USL Championship team form, expected goals (xG), historical scoring trends, head-to-head data and current bookmaker odds. The model is re-run every few hours, so the USL Championship predictions on this page always reflect the latest market and team data.
BTTS (Both Teams To Score) probability is the model's estimated chance that both sides will score at least one goal in USL Championship. A BTTS probability above 60% is treated as a strong signal; below 45% is weak. You can compare BTTS trends across leagues on our BTTS statistics page.
Value Edge is the gap between our AI's probability for an outcome and the bookmaker's implied probability from the odds. A positive Value Edge means the bookmaker is pricing the outcome lower than our model expects, which is what we flag as a value bet in USL Championship.
Our model is back-tested on tens of thousands of historical USL Championship matches and is regularly recalibrated. Accuracy varies by market — main result markets sit around industry benchmarks, while BTTS and Over 2.5 markets tend to score higher. No prediction is guaranteed; we recommend pairing them with our value bets and dropping odds tools before staking.
Predictions refresh multiple times per day — when fixtures are first published, when bookmaker odds move materially, and again in the hours before kick-off. The Last Updated timestamp at the top of the page reflects the most recent refresh.
Yes. The top insight for every fixture is free to view. OddAlerts Pro members also get access to additional insights per match, custom filters, and the full AI match report.
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OddAlerts is a football analytics platform providing AI-powered predictions since 2020. Our prediction model is developed by sports data scientists and continuously refined using machine learning techniques. We analyze over 100,000 matches annually across 2,500+ leagues to provide the most accurate and valuable insights. Discover trends, explore custom filters, or join thousands using our alert system.
