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Win, draw and away chances, both teams to score, goals and the likeliest score for every UEFA Europa League match this week. Every prediction is checked against the final score, in public.
109 finished matches graded over the last 90 days. See the full record
Predictions appear once a match has bookmaker odds, usually five to seven days before kick-off.
See every leagueTry another day or league, or clear the search.
109 matches graded · refreshed every few hours
Every home, draw and away probability, grouped and checked against what actually happened. The closer the dots sit to the line, the more honest the numbers.
| Model said | Happened | Outcomes |
|---|---|---|
| 24.1% | 17.8% | 152 |
| 34.9% | 37.3% | 67 |
| 44.2% | 50.9% | 57 |
| 55.2% | 65.6% | 32 |
The model blends UEFA Europa League team form, expected goals (xG), goal timing and head-to-heads with live bookmaker odds to price every outcome of every match.
Each match is simulated 100,000 times for scorelines, goal lines and both teams to score. Our UEFA Europa League predictions show every match played out.
Every finished match is scored against the result and fed into the record above, so you can judge the numbers before you use them.
Europa League predictions revolve around motivation and rotation. With many top sides treating the Europa League as a secondary competition, squad rotation patterns matter more than headline form. Our Europa League model weights expected line-up strength, Thursday-Sunday recovery time and home advantage in two-legged ties. Goals markets — particularly Over 2.5 and BTTS — tend to be where the model disagrees most with the bookmakers in this competition.
AI UEFA Europa League tips are match forecasts made by a statistical model rather than a pundit. For every match ours gives the chance of a home win, draw and away win, both teams to score, over and under 2.5 goals and the likeliest exact scores, then compares those numbers with the bookmakers.
Over the last 90 days we graded 109 finished UEFA Europa League matches against the final score. The model's pick for the match result was right 56% of the time (picking at random would be about 33%), and 83.3% of the time when it was at least 60% sure. Both teams to score calls were right 54.1% of the time and over/under 2.5 goals 59.6%.
Chatbots like ChatGPT can write a convincing preview, but they are language models: they have no live odds, no injury feed and no calibrated sense of probability, and they tend to back the favourite. Our numbers come from a statistical model built on form, expected goals (xG), goal timing, head-to-heads and live bookmaker prices. AI language models only write the match previews, from those numbers.
The one that publishes its record. Look for two things: every pick graded against the result, not a highlight reel, and probabilities that are calibrated, so a 70% call wins about seven times in ten. We show both on this page, updated every few hours.
Yes. Win, draw and away chances, both teams to score, over and under 2.5 goals, the likeliest score, a written verdict and a 100,000-run simulation are free for every match. Pro adds every goal line and team total, ranking by model edge, probability filters and the full AI match report.
The model combines UEFA Europa League team form, expected goals (xG), goal-timing data, head-to-head records and live bookmaker odds to price every outcome. Each match is then simulated 100,000 times to produce scorelines and goal lines. It re-runs every few hours and again as kick-off approaches, so the numbers follow team news and price moves.
The gap between the model's probability and the bookmaker's. If the model gives a team a 55% chance and the odds imply 48%, that is a +7% edge: the bookmaker is pricing the outcome lower than the model expects. Positive edges are what value bettors look for.
Every UEFA Europa League match with bookmaker odds in the next seven days, plus every other covered league on the all-leagues page.
Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Please gamble responsibly, 18+.