Win, draw and away chances, both teams to score, goals and the likeliest score for every Brazil Serie B match this week. Every prediction is checked against the final score, in public.
153 finished matches graded over the last 90 days. See the full record
Avaí shade it at 46%. Over 2.5 at 44%, likeliest score 1-1.
Too close to call: São Bernardo 33%, Criciúma 37%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-1.
CRB shade it at 58%. Over 2.5 at 52%, likeliest score 1-0.
Vila Nova shade it at 39%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-1.
Goiás shade it at 44%. Over 2.5 at 46%, likeliest score 1-1.
Londrina shade it at 43%. Over 2.5 at 43%, likeliest score 1-1.
Try another day or league, or clear the search.
153 matches graded · refreshed every few hours
Every home, draw and away probability, grouped and checked against what actually happened. The closer the dots sit to the line, the more honest the numbers.
| Model said | Happened | Outcomes |
|---|---|---|
| 17.1% | 14.7% | 34 |
| 26.4% | 23.5% | 213 |
| 34% | 40% | 85 |
| 45.1% | 39.1% | 64 |
| 53.4% | 60.9% | 46 |
Ceará
Juventude
Model pickJuventude 36%
2-2
Missed
Sport Recife
Fortaleza
Model pickSport Recife 42%
0-2
Missed
Ponte Preta
Atlético GO
Model pickAtlético GO 56%
1-1
Missed
Athletic Club
Londrina
Model pickAthletic Club 43%
2-2
Missed
Botafogo SP
Ceará
Model pickBotafogo SP 42%
1-0
Correct
The model blends Brazil Serie B team form, expected goals (xG), goal timing and head-to-heads with live bookmaker odds to price every outcome of every match.
Each match is simulated 100,000 times for scorelines, goal lines and both teams to score. Open the match simulator to watch one play out.
Every finished match is scored against the result and fed into the record above, so you can judge the numbers before you use them.
AI Brazil Serie B predictions are match forecasts made by a statistical model rather than a pundit. For every match ours gives the chance of a home win, draw and away win, both teams to score, over and under 2.5 goals and the likeliest exact scores, then compares those numbers with the bookmakers.
Over the last 90 days we graded 153 finished Brazil Serie B matches against the final score. The model's pick for the match result was right 49% of the time (picking at random would be about 33%), and 91.7% of the time when it was at least 60% sure. Both teams to score calls were right 58.2% of the time and over/under 2.5 goals 56.2%.
Chatbots like ChatGPT can write a convincing preview, but they are language models: they have no live odds, no injury feed and no calibrated sense of probability, and they tend to back the favourite. Our numbers come from a statistical model built on form, expected goals (xG), goal timing, head-to-heads and live bookmaker prices. AI language models only write the match previews, from those numbers.
The one that publishes its record. Look for two things: every pick graded against the result, not a highlight reel, and probabilities that are calibrated, so a 70% call wins about seven times in ten. We show both on this page, updated every few hours.
Yes. Win, draw and away chances, both teams to score, over and under 2.5 goals, the likeliest score, a written verdict and a 100,000-run simulation are free for every match. Pro adds every goal line and team total, ranking by model edge, probability filters and the full AI match report.
The model combines Brazil Serie B team form, expected goals (xG), goal-timing data, head-to-head records and live bookmaker odds to price every outcome. Each match is then simulated 100,000 times to produce scorelines and goal lines. It re-runs every few hours and again as kick-off approaches, so the numbers follow team news and price moves.
The gap between the model's probability and the bookmaker's. If the model gives a team a 55% chance and the odds imply 48%, that is a +7% edge: the bookmaker is pricing the outcome lower than the model expects. Positive edges are what value bettors look for.
Every Brazil Serie B match with bookmaker odds in the next seven days, plus every other covered league on the all-leagues page.
Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Please gamble responsibly, 18+.
CRB
Avaí
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
Criciúma