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Nobody wants to back the draw, so the price is frequently too big. This list takes every draw priced between 3.40 and 7.00 in the next 24 hours and keeps those where the market price is longer than the fair price our model calculates for that particular match.

The model price and the market price sit next to each other on every card. Add an unders rule to lean into the goalless kind of draw, or a league rule to stick to the competitions where stalemates are common.

What the Draw Value filter checks

  • Draw 3.4–7

Every fixture kicking off in the next 24 hours is tested against each rule; only the matches that pass all of them are listed above, with the actual figure behind every rule shown on the card. The list is rebuilt through the day as odds and form update.

Frequently asked questions

How often do football matches end in a draw?
Around a quarter of matches across Europe's leagues, with wide variation — some leagues sit above 30%, others below 20%. A draw priced at 3.40 implies roughly 29%, so the price only makes sense in the right kind of match.
Is a draw value bet the same as lay the draw?
No, the opposite. Laying the draw is betting against it. This list is for backing the draw at a price that is longer than it should be.
Is the Draw Value Bets list free?
Yes. Anyone can see the first few matches and add rules of their own; a free OddAlerts account unlocks the full list and runs the free preset on the live match feed. Pro runs every preset live with alerts, sorting and 30-day backtests.

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