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Admiral Bundesliga Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Admiral Bundesliga

Find value bets for Admiral Bundesliga fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Ried vs Rheindorf Altach

poor

Fri 3rd, 18:30

HT Result

Away

4.55 Fair: 3.96 Pinnacle

+14.9%

Model: 25.3%

FT Result

Away

3.71 Fair: 3.24 Pinnacle

+14.51%

Model: 30.9%

BTTS

Yes

2.01 Fair: 1.89 1xBet

+6.35%

Model: 53%

WSG Tirol vs Wolfsberger AC

poor

Sat 4th, 16:00

HT Result

Away

3.12 Fair: 2.88 Pinnacle

+8.33%

Model: 34.8%

FT Result

Away

2.51 Fair: 2.41 Pinnacle

+4.15%

Model: 41.5%

Grazer AK vs Blau-Weiß Linz

poor

Sat 4th, 16:00

FT Result

Home

2.43 Fair: 2.01 Pinnacle

+20.9%

Model: 49.7%

HT Result

Home

3.20 Fair: 2.89 Bet365

+10.73%

Model: 34.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.36 Fair: 1.33 Bet365

+2.26%

Model: 75.3%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.36 Fair: 1.34 Bet365

+1.49%

Model: 74.5%

Hartberg vs Salzburg

poor

Sun 5th, 13:30

FT Result

Home

5.34 Fair: 3.52 Pinnacle

+51.7%

Model: 28.4%

HT Result

Home

5.43 Fair: 3.79 Pinnacle

+43.27%

Model: 26.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.25 Fair: 1.83 Bet365

+22.95%

Model: 54.5%

FT Result

Draw

4.00 Fair: 3.83 Pinnacle

+4.44%

Model: 26.1%

BTTS

No

2.14 Fair: 2.05 Kambi Group

+4.39%

Model: 48.8%

LASK Linz vs Austria Wien

poor

Sun 5th, 13:30

FT Result

Away

3.50 Fair: 2.84 Pinnacle

+23.24%

Model: 35.3%

HT Result

Away

4.17 Fair: 3.67 1xBet

+13.62%

Model: 27.2%

BTTS

Yes

1.80 Fair: 1.66 WilliamHill

+8.43%

Model: 60.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.72 Fair: 1.66 Bet365

+3.61%

Model: 60.2%

SK Rapid vs Sturm Graz

poor

Sun 5th, 16:00

FT Result

Home

2.53 Fair: 2.21 Pinnacle

+14.48%

Model: 45.2%

HT Result

Home

3.13 Fair: 3.02 Pinnacle

+3.64%

Model: 33.1%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.44 Fair: 1.42 Bet365

+1.41%

Model: 70.4%

Salzburg vs LASK Linz

poor

Fri 10th, 18:30

FT Result

Away

4.03 Fair: 2.71 1xBet

+48.71%

Model: 36.9%

HT Result

Away

4.33 Fair: 3.35 Bet365

+29.25%

Model: 29.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.95 Fair: 1.62 Bet365

+20.37%

Model: 61.8%

Wolfsberger AC vs Ried

poor

Sat 11th, 16:00

FT Result

Home

2.46 Fair: 2.38 1xBet

+3.36%

Model: 42.1%

Blau-Weiß Linz vs WSG Tirol

poor

Sat 11th, 18:30

HT Result

Away

3.75 Fair: 3.25 Bet365

+15.38%

Model: 30.8%

FT Result

Away

3.24 Fair: 2.84 1xBet

+14.08%

Model: 35.2%

BTTS

Yes

1.80 Fair: 1.67 Bet365

+7.78%

Model: 59.8%

Sturm Graz vs Hartberg

poor

Sun 12th, 13:30

HT Result

Away

4.75 Fair: 3.77 Bet365

+25.99%

Model: 26.6%

FT Result

Away

4.37 Fair: 3.64 1xBet

+20.05%

Model: 27.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.95 Fair: 1.81 Bet365

+7.73%

Model: 55.4%

Austria Wien vs SK Rapid

poor

Sun 12th, 16:00

FT Result

Home

2.53 Fair: 2.32 1xBet

+9.05%

Model: 43.2%

HT Result

Home

3.20 Fair: 3.04 Bet365

+5.26%

Model: 32.9%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.