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Admiral Bundesliga Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Admiral Bundesliga

Find value bets for Admiral Bundesliga fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Rheindorf Altach vs Austria Wien

poor

Fri 23rd, 18:30

HT Result

Home

2.88 Fair: 2.41 Pinnacle

+19.5%

Model: 41.6%

FT Result

Home

2.24 Fair: 1.91 Betfair Exchange

+17.28%

Model: 52.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.36 Fair: 1.33 Bet365

+2.26%

Model: 75.3%

Hartberg vs Wolfsberger AC

poor

Sat 24th, 16:00

FT Result

Away

3.27 Fair: 2.62 Pinnacle

+24.81%

Model: 38.2%

HT Result

Away

3.74 Fair: 3.07 1xBet

+21.82%

Model: 32.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.66 Fair: 1.60 Bet365

+3.75%

Model: 62.5%

WSG Tirol vs Grazer AK

poor

Sat 24th, 16:00

FT Result

Away

2.75 Fair: 2.33 Kambi Group

+18.03%

Model: 42.8%

HT Result

Away

3.33 Fair: 3.00 Pinnacle

+11%

Model: 33.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.53 Fair: 1.45 Bet365

+5.52%

Model: 69%

SK Rapid vs Austria Lustenau

poor

Sat 24th, 18:30

FT Result

Away

12.00 Fair: 6.67 Betfair Exchange

+79.91%

Model: 15%

Double Chance

Draw Away

4.40 Fair: 2.78 1xBet

+58.27%

Model: 36%

FT Result

Draw

7.27 Fair: 4.76 Pinnacle

+52.73%

Model: 21%

HT Result

Away

8.84 Fair: 6.41 Pinnacle

+37.91%

Model: 15.6%

HT Result

Draw

3.37 Fair: 2.60 Pinnacle

+29.62%

Model: 38.4%

BTTS

No

2.16 Fair: 2.10 FanDuel

+2.86%

Model: 47.7%

Sturm Graz vs Ried

poor

Sun 25th, 13:30

FT Result

Away

4.45 Fair: 3.37 Betano

+32.05%

Model: 29.7%

HT Result

Away

4.70 Fair: 3.60 Pinnacle

+30.56%

Model: 27.8%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.15 Fair: 1.82 Bet365

+18.13%

Model: 54.9%

FT Result

Draw

4.30 Fair: 3.97 Betfair Exchange

+8.31%

Model: 25.2%

BTTS

No

2.40 Fair: 2.23 FanDuel

+7.62%

Model: 44.8%

HT Result

Draw

2.61 Fair: 2.49 Pinnacle

+4.82%

Model: 40.1%

LASK vs Salzburg

poor

Sun 25th, 16:00

FT Result

Away

3.10 Fair: 1.89 Kambi Group

+64.02%

Model: 52.9%

HT Result

Away

3.40 Fair: 2.27 1xBet

+49.78%

Model: 44.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.66 Fair: 1.32 Bet365

+25.76%

Model: 75.9%

BTTS

No

2.88 Fair: 2.39 FanDuel

+20.5%

Model: 41.9%

Grazer AK vs Hartberg

poor

Fri 30th, 18:30

FT Result

Away

3.70 Fair: 3.07 FanDuel

+20.52%

Model: 32.6%

HT Result

Away

4.00 Fair: 3.56 Bet365

+12.36%

Model: 28.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.80 Fair: 1.68 Bet365

+7.14%

Model: 59.4%

BTTS

No

2.14 Fair: 2.03 1xBet

+5.42%

Model: 49.3%

Rheindorf Altach vs Ried

poor

Sat 31st, 16:00

FT Result

Home

2.35 Fair: 2.04 Betano

+15.2%

Model: 48.9%

HT Result

Home

2.87 Fair: 2.70 Bet365

+6.3%

Model: 37%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.40 Fair: 1.37 Bet365

+2.19%

Model: 73%

LASK vs WSG Tirol

poor

Sat 31st, 18:30

FT Result

Away

8.00 Fair: 3.03 Bet365

+164.03%

Model: 33%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.25 Fair: 1.73 Bet365

+87.86%

Model: 57.8%

HT Result

Away

7.00 Fair: 3.73 Bet365

+87.67%

Model: 26.8%

FT Result

Draw

5.25 Fair: 4.02 Bet365

+30.6%

Model: 24.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.87 Fair: 2.36 Bet365

+21.61%

Model: 42.4%

BTTS

Yes

1.66 Fair: 1.61 Bet365

+3.11%

Model: 62.1%

Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau

poor

Sun 1st, 13:30

FT Result

Away

14.00 Fair: 5.78 FanDuel

+142.21%

Model: 17.3%

HT Result

Away

9.50 Fair: 5.15 Bet365

+84.47%

Model: 19.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

4.50 Fair: 2.70 Bet365

+66.67%

Model: 37.1%

FT Result

Draw

7.00 Fair: 5.05 FanDuel

+38.61%

Model: 19.8%

HT Result

Draw

3.20 Fair: 2.72 Bet365

+17.65%

Model: 36.7%

Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz

poor

Sun 1st, 13:30

FT Result

Home

4.88 Fair: 3.10 1xBet

+57.42%

Model: 32.3%

HT Result

Home

5.00 Fair: 3.35 Bet365

+49.25%

Model: 29.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.30 Fair: 1.80 Bet365

+27.78%

Model: 55.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.60 Fair: 2.54 Bet365

+2.36%

Model: 39.3%

FT Result

Draw

4.30 Fair: 4.28 1xBet

+0.47%

Model: 23.4%

Austria Wien vs SK Rapid

poor

Sun 1st, 16:00

FT Result

Home

4.80 Fair: 4.26 FanDuel

+12.68%

Model: 23.5%

HT Result

Home

5.00 Fair: 4.57 Bet365

+9.41%

Model: 21.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.30 Fair: 2.11 Bet365

+9%

Model: 47.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.50 Fair: 2.38 Bet365

+5.04%

Model: 42.1%

BTTS

No

2.30 Fair: 2.23 1xBet

+3.14%

Model: 44.9%

FT Result

Draw

4.30 Fair: 4.18 FanDuel

+2.87%

Model: 23.9%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.