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  1. Football Leagues
  2. Brazil
  3. Serie A
  4. Profit

Betting on Serie A

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: Serie A

This page will show you how profitable betting on the Serie A in Brazil has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
638 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-76.3
311/638 won
 48.75% £-1292.5
121/442 won (27.38%)
Draw £-594.3
167/638 won
 26.18% £-1184.2
104/564 won (18.44%)
Away Win £-1038.8
160/638 won
 25.08% £-2065.1
79/554 won (14.26%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
638 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £89.1
165/329 won
 50.15% £-685
59/219 won (26.94%)
Draw £-544.1
81/329 won
 24.62% £-807.6
50/290 won (17.24%)
Away Win £-481.8
83/329 won
 25.23% £-1111.9
39/284 won (13.73%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
638 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-165.4
146/309 won
 47.25% £-607.5
62/223 won (27.8%)
Draw £-50.2
86/309 won
 27.83% £-376.6
54/274 won (19.71%)
Away Win £-557
77/309 won
 24.92% £-953.2
40/270 won (14.81%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.