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Serie B Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Serie B

Find value bets for Serie B fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

América Mineiro vs Botafogo SP

poor

Wed 1st, 22:00

FT Result

Home

2.08 Fair: 1.79 Betfair Exchange

+16.2%

Model: 55.9%

BTTS

No

1.92 Fair: 1.80 Betfair Exchange

+6.67%

Model: 55.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.28 Fair: 1.22 Bet365

+4.92%

Model: 81.8%

Londrina vs Goiás

poor

Wed 1st, 23:00

FT Result

Away

3.30 Fair: 2.91 Betfair Exchange

+13.4%

Model: 34.4%

BTTS

No

1.94 Fair: 1.75 Betfair Exchange

+10.86%

Model: 57.2%

HT Result

Away

4.06 Fair: 3.87 1xBet

+4.91%

Model: 25.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.55 Fair: 1.52 Kambi Group

+1.97%

Model: 65.8%

Atlético GO vs Náutico

poor

Wed 1st, 23:00

FT Result

Away

4.50 Fair: 2.94 Betfair Exchange

+53.06%

Model: 34.1%

HT Result

Away

5.12 Fair: 3.89 Pinnacle

+31.62%

Model: 25.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.81 Fair: 1.56 Kambi Group

+16.03%

Model: 64%

Sport Recife vs Vila Nova

poor

Wed 1st, 23:00

FT Result

Away

5.10 Fair: 3.63 Kambi Group

+40.5%

Model: 27.6%

HT Result

Away

5.41 Fair: 4.27 1xBet

+26.7%

Model: 23.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.02 Fair: 1.80 Kambi Group

+12.22%

Model: 55.5%

BTTS

Yes

2.14 Fair: 1.95 Betfair Exchange

+9.74%

Model: 51.2%

Ponte Preta vs Ceará

poor

Thu 2nd, 01:00

HT Result

Home

4.84 Fair: 3.90 1xBet

+24.1%

Model: 25.6%

FT Result

Home

4.10 Fair: 3.33 Betfair Exchange

+23.12%

Model: 30%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.80 Fair: 1.66 Kambi Group

+8.43%

Model: 60.3%

poor

Thu 2nd, 01:30

FT Result

Home

1.88 Fair: 1.78 Betfair Exchange

+5.62%

Model: 56.1%

HT Result

Away

5.02 Fair: 4.78 Pinnacle

+5.02%

Model: 20.9%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.33 Fair: 1.32 Bet365

+0.76%

Model: 75.5%

Criciúma vs Athletic Club

poor

Thu 2nd, 01:30

HT Result

Away

6.21 Fair: 5.01 1xBet

+23.95%

Model: 20%

BTTS

Yes

2.20 Fair: 1.91 Bet365

+15.18%

Model: 52.5%

FT Result

Away

6.00 Fair: 5.36 Betfair Exchange

+11.94%

Model: 18.6%

São Bernardo vs Operário PR

poor

Thu 2nd, 21:30

FT Result

Away

3.55 Fair: 3.33 Betfair Exchange

+6.61%

Model: 30%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.