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Serie B Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Serie B

Find value bets for Serie B fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Operário PR vs Athletic Club

poor

Fri 23rd, 23:30

FT Result

Away

4.33 Fair: 3.86 Bet365

+12.18%

Model: 25.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.20 Fair: 2.07 Bet365

+6.28%

Model: 48.3%

Sport Recife vs Criciúma

poor

Sat 24th, 01:00

FT Result

Away

3.20 Fair: 3.17 Bet365

+0.95%

Model: 31.6%

Avaí vs Botafogo SP

poor

Sat 24th, 20:00

BTTS

Yes

2.10 Fair: 1.99 Bet365

+5.53%

Model: 50.3%

FT Result

Home

2.32 Fair: 2.30 Betano

+0.87%

Model: 43.4%

Atlético GO vs Novorizontino

poor

Sat 24th, 20:30

FT Result

Draw

3.35 Fair: 3.23 Kambi Group

+3.72%

Model: 30.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.24 Fair: 2.21 Pinnacle

+1.36%

Model: 45.3%

São Bernardo vs Vila Nova

poor

Sat 24th, 20:30

FT Result

Home

2.90 Fair: 2.79 Bet365

+3.94%

Model: 35.8%

CRB vs Londrina

poor

Sat 24th, 22:30

FT Result

Away

6.50 Fair: 5.43 Pinnacle

+19.71%

Model: 18.4%

BTTS

Yes

1.74 Fair: 1.72 Kambi Group

+1.16%

Model: 58.3%

Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza

poor

Sat 24th, 22:30

FT Result

Home

12.00 Fair: 7.68 FanDuel

+56.25%

Model: 13%

HT Result

Home

10.03 Fair: 6.48 Pinnacle

+54.78%

Model: 15.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

3.75 Fair: 2.70 Bet365

+38.89%

Model: 37.1%

FT Result

Draw

5.67 Fair: 4.16 Pinnacle

+36.3%

Model: 24%

HT Result

Draw

2.70 Fair: 2.12 Pinnacle

+27.36%

Model: 47.2%

América Mineiro vs Cuiabá

poor

Mon 26th, 22:30

FT Result

Home

3.65 Fair: 2.51 Pinnacle

+45.42%

Model: 39.8%

FT Result

Draw

3.55 Fair: 3.43 Pinnacle

+3.5%

Model: 29.2%

Juventude vs Náutico

poor

Mon 26th, 23:30

FT Result

Away

6.36 Fair: 4.09 Pinnacle

+55.5%

Model: 24.4%

HT Result

Away

6.53 Fair: 4.90 Pinnacle

+33.27%

Model: 20.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.50 Fair: 2.04 Bet365

+22.55%

Model: 49.1%

BTTS

Yes

2.00 Fair: 1.85 Bet365

+8.11%

Model: 54.2%

FT Result

Draw

4.20 Fair: 4.05 Pinnacle

+3.7%

Model: 24.7%

HT Result

Draw

2.37 Fair: 2.33 Pinnacle

+1.72%

Model: 43%

Ceará vs Goiás

poor

Tue 27th, 23:00

FT Result

Away

3.78 Fair: 3.44 Pinnacle

+9.88%

Model: 29.1%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.