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First Division Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for First Division

Find value bets for First Division fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Kolding IF vs Esbjerg

poor

Fri 3rd, 12:00

BTTS

No

2.23 Fair: 2.10 Kambi Group

+6.19%

Model: 47.5%

FT Result

Home

2.40 Fair: 2.29 Betfair Exchange

+4.8%

Model: 43.7%

poor

Fri 3rd, 13:00

FT Result

Away

2.60 Fair: 2.45 Kambi Group

+6.12%

Model: 40.8%

BTTS

No

2.33 Fair: 2.25 Kambi Group

+3.56%

Model: 44.4%

Hvidovre vs Hillerød

poor

Fri 3rd, 14:30

FT Result

Away

3.60 Fair: 2.75 Bet365

+30.91%

Model: 36.4%

HT Result

Away

4.29 Fair: 3.55 1xBet

+20.85%

Model: 28.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.73 Fair: 1.59 WilliamHill

+8.81%

Model: 62.9%

BTTS

Yes

1.80 Fair: 1.74 WilliamHill

+3.45%

Model: 57.4%

Middelfart vs Aalborg BK

poor

Sat 4th, 13:00

FT Result

Home

4.60 Fair: 2.85 Kambi Group

+61.4%

Model: 35.1%

HT Result

Home

4.90 Fair: 3.24 1xBet

+51.23%

Model: 30.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.07 Fair: 1.64 Kambi Group

+26.22%

Model: 61%

BTTS

Yes

1.80 Fair: 1.76 Bet365

+2.27%

Model: 56.8%

FT Result

Draw

3.90 Fair: 3.87 Pinnacle

+0.78%

Model: 25.9%

Horsens vs Lyngby Boldklub

poor

Sat 4th, 14:00

FT Result

Away

2.35 Fair: 1.88 Kambi Group

+25%

Model: 53.2%

HT Result

Away

2.95 Fair: 2.67 Kambi Group

+10.49%

Model: 37.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.36 Fair: 1.30 Kambi Group

+4.62%

Model: 77%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.33 Fair: 1.31 Bet365

+1.53%

Model: 76.3%

HB Køge vs Aarhus Fremad

poor

Mon 6th, 14:00

HT Result

Home

4.17 Fair: 4.08 Pinnacle

+2.21%

Model: 24.5%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.