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Liga Pro Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Liga Pro

Find value bets for Liga Pro fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

LDU Quito vs Barcelona Guayaquil

poor

Sat 4th, 01:00

HT Result

Away

5.45 Fair: 5.28 1xBet

+3.22%

Model: 19%

BTTS

No

1.87 Fair: 1.86 1xBet

+0.54%

Model: 53.7%

Independiente del Valle vs Orense

poor

Sat 4th, 20:00

HT Result

Away

8.50 Fair: 6.09 Bet365

+39.57%

Model: 16.4%

FT Result

Away

10.00 Fair: 7.86 Bet365

+27.23%

Model: 12.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.40 Fair: 2.89 Bet365

+17.65%

Model: 34.6%

FT Result

Draw

5.00 Fair: 4.57 Kambi Group

+9.41%

Model: 21.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.60 Fair: 2.54 Bet365

+2.36%

Model: 39.4%

Universidad Católica vs Guayaquil City

poor

Sat 4th, 22:30

FT Result

Away

7.60 Fair: 4.59 1xBet

+65.58%

Model: 21.8%

HT Result

Away

7.25 Fair: 5.17 Pinnacle

+40.23%

Model: 19.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.79 Fair: 2.04 1xBet

+36.76%

Model: 49.1%

FT Result

Draw

4.50 Fair: 3.67 1xBet

+22.62%

Model: 27.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.45 Fair: 2.33 Pinnacle

+5.15%

Model: 43%

BTTS

No

1.90 Fair: 1.89 Kambi Group

+0.53%

Model: 53%

Emelec vs Deportivo Cuenca

poor

Sun 5th, 01:00

FT Result

Away

4.21 Fair: 4.10 Pinnacle

+2.68%

Model: 24.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.90 Fair: 1.86 Bet365

+2.15%

Model: 53.8%

HT Result

Away

4.84 Fair: 4.78 Pinnacle

+1.26%

Model: 20.9%

Leones del Norte vs Delfin

poor

Sun 5th, 19:00

FT Result

Home

2.25 Fair: 1.91 Kambi Group

+17.8%

Model: 52.5%

HT Result

Home

2.82 Fair: 2.74 Pinnacle

+2.92%

Model: 36.5%

BTTS

Yes

2.40 Fair: 2.35 1xBet

+2.13%

Model: 42.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.26 Fair: 1.25 Kambi Group

+0.8%

Model: 80%

Manta vs Técnico Universitario

poor

Sun 5th, 21:30

FT Result

Away

3.33 Fair: 3.11 Pinnacle

+7.07%

Model: 32.1%

Macará vs Aucas

poor

Mon 6th, 00:10

HT Result

Away

4.01 Fair: 3.97 Pinnacle

+1.01%

Model: 25.2%

FT Result

Away

3.23 Fair: 3.20 Pinnacle

+0.94%

Model: 31.3%

Libertad vs Mushuc Runa

poor

Tue 7th, 01:00

FT Result

Home

2.41 Fair: 2.27 Pinnacle

+6.17%

Model: 44.1%

HT Result

Home

3.10 Fair: 2.95 Bet365

+5.08%

Model: 33.9%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.