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Liga Pro Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Liga Pro

Find value bets for Liga Pro fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Delfin vs Universidad Católica

poor

Sun 6th, 22:00

HT Result

Draw

2.16 Fair: 2.05 Pinnacle

+5.37%

Model: 48.9%

Deportivo Cuenca vs Libertad

poor

Mon 7th, 01:00

FT Result

Home

1.83 Fair: 1.70 Betfair Exchange

+7.65%

Model: 58.8%

HT Result

Draw

2.21 Fair: 2.20 Pinnacle

+0.45%

Model: 45.5%

Aucas vs Barcelona Guayaquil

poor

Mon 7th, 01:00

FT Result

Away

4.50 Fair: 4.24 Betfair Exchange

+6.13%

Model: 23.6%

FT Result

Home

2.00 Fair: 1.94 Kambi Group

+3.09%

Model: 51.7%

Orense vs Guayaquil City

poor

Tue 8th, 01:00

FT Result

Home

1.90 Fair: 1.78 Betano

+6.74%

Model: 56.2%

BTTS

Yes

1.93 Fair: 1.87 Kambi Group

+3.21%

Model: 53.6%

HT Result

Home

2.50 Fair: 2.46 Bet365

+1.63%

Model: 40.6%

Mushuc Runa vs Leones del Norte

poor

Tue 8th, 01:00

HT Result

Draw

2.20 Fair: 2.04 Kambi Group

+7.84%

Model: 49.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.20 Fair: 2.09 Bet365

+5.26%

Model: 47.8%

FT Result

Away

4.75 Fair: 4.64 Bet365

+2.37%

Model: 21.5%

HT Result

Away

5.50 Fair: 5.49 Bet365

+0.18%

Model: 18.2%

Emelec vs Manta

poor

Tue 8th, 01:00

FT Result

Home

1.58 Fair: 1.50 Kambi Group

+5.33%

Model: 66.8%

BTTS

Yes

2.20 Fair: 2.12 Bet365

+3.77%

Model: 47.1%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.28 Fair: 1.26 Bet365

+1.59%

Model: 79.5%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.