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Premier League Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Premier League

Find value bets for Premier League fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Olympic El Qanah vs El Geish

high

Mon 7th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.90 Fair: 2.86 WilliamHill

+1.4%

Model: 34.9%

Al Ittihad vs Asyut Petrol

high

Mon 7th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

4.99 Fair: 3.39 Pinnacle

+47.2%

Model: 29.5%

HT Result

Away

5.80 Fair: 4.79 WilliamHill

+21.09%

Model: 20.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.85 Fair: 1.62 WilliamHill

+14.2%

Model: 61.8%

HT Result

Draw

1.95 Fair: 1.92 Pinnacle

+1.56%

Model: 52%

FT Result

Draw

3.10 Fair: 3.09 1xBet

+0.32%

Model: 32.4%

Petrojet vs Al Masry

high

Mon 7th, 18:00

HT Result

Draw

2.05 Fair: 1.92 WilliamHill

+6.77%

Model: 52%

BTTS

No

1.75 Fair: 1.71 WilliamHill

+2.34%

Model: 58.3%

National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla

high

Mon 7th, 18:00

FT Result

Away

6.00 Fair: 4.37 Betfair Exchange

+37.3%

Model: 22.9%

HT Result

Away

6.49 Fair: 5.40 1xBet

+20.19%

Model: 18.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.10 Fair: 1.85 Bet365

+13.51%

Model: 54.1%

FT Result

Draw

3.35 Fair: 3.20 Kambi Group

+4.69%

Model: 31.2%

BTTS

Yes

2.50 Fair: 2.39 Bet365

+4.6%

Model: 41.8%

HT Result

Draw

2.02 Fair: 1.96 Kambi Group

+3.06%

Model: 51.2%

Smouha vs Ceramica Cleopatra

high

Tue 8th, 18:00

BTTS

No

1.68 Fair: 1.67 Betfair Exchange

+0.6%

Model: 60%

Zamalek vs Abu Qir Fertilizers

high

Tue 8th, 18:00

FT Result

Away

6.75 Fair: 4.93 Kambi Group

+36.92%

Model: 20.3%

FT Result

Draw

3.80 Fair: 3.26 Kambi Group

+16.56%

Model: 30.7%

Pyramids FC vs El Gounah

high

Wed 9th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

8.67 Fair: 5.35 Pinnacle

+62.06%

Model: 18.7%

HT Result

Away

9.30 Fair: 6.09 1xBet

+52.71%

Model: 16.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.50 Fair: 2.11 WilliamHill

+18.48%

Model: 47.5%

BTTS

Yes

2.64 Fair: 2.32 1xBet

+13.79%

Model: 43.1%

FT Result

Draw

3.75 Fair: 3.47 Betano

+8.07%

Model: 28.8%

HT Result

Draw

2.14 Fair: 2.09 Pinnacle

+2.39%

Model: 47.8%

Modern Sport FC vs Wadi Degla

high

Wed 9th, 15:00

HT Result

Draw

1.87 Fair: 1.74 Pinnacle

+7.47%

Model: 57.6%

BTTS

No

1.62 Fair: 1.61 WilliamHill

+0.62%

Model: 62%

ENPPI vs ZED FC

high

Wed 9th, 18:00

FT Result

Away

2.82 Fair: 2.39 Pinnacle

+17.99%

Model: 41.8%

BTTS

No

1.69 Fair: 1.62 Betfair Exchange

+4.32%

Model: 61.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.36 Fair: 1.33 WilliamHill

+2.26%

Model: 75.1%

HT Result

Draw

1.86 Fair: 1.85 Pinnacle

+0.54%

Model: 54.1%

Arab Contractors FC vs Al Ahly

high

Wed 9th, 18:00

FT Result

Home

10.00 Fair: 4.43 Betfair Exchange

+125.73%

Model: 22.6%

HT Result

Home

8.50 Fair: 5.26 WilliamHill

+61.6%

Model: 19%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.80 Fair: 1.94 WilliamHill

+44.33%

Model: 51.5%

FT Result

Draw

4.15 Fair: 3.45 Pinnacle

+20.29%

Model: 29%

HT Result

Draw

2.37 Fair: 2.15 Pinnacle

+10.23%

Model: 46.6%

BTTS

Yes

2.32 Fair: 2.27 Betfair Exchange

+2.2%

Model: 44%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.