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League One Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for League One

Find value bets for League One fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Wigan Athletic vs Leyton Orient

poor

Thu 2nd, 19:45

FT Result

Away

3.20 Fair: 3.09 Betfair Exchange

+3.56%

Model: 32.4%

HT Result

Away

3.92 Fair: 3.81 1xBet

+2.89%

Model: 26.2%

Doncaster Rovers vs Mansfield Town

poor

Fri 3rd, 12:30

BTTS

No

2.25 Fair: 2.12 Kambi Group

+6.13%

Model: 47.1%

FT Result

Home

2.30 Fair: 2.19 Betfair Exchange

+5.02%

Model: 45.6%

Luton Town vs Peterborough United

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Away

5.00 Fair: 4.29 Bet365

+16.55%

Model: 23.3%

BTTS

No

2.39 Fair: 2.14 1xBet

+11.68%

Model: 46.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.24 Fair: 2.09 1xBet

+7.18%

Model: 47.9%

FT Result

Draw

4.34 Fair: 4.06 Pinnacle

+6.9%

Model: 24.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.65 Fair: 2.55 Pinnacle

+3.92%

Model: 39.2%

HT Result

Away

4.95 Fair: 4.83 Pinnacle

+2.48%

Model: 20.7%

Lincoln City vs AFC Wimbledon

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

HT Result

Away

6.87 Fair: 5.73 Pinnacle

+19.9%

Model: 17.5%

FT Result

Away

8.20 Fair: 7.30 Betfair Exchange

+12.33%

Model: 13.7%

Stockport County vs Wycombe Wanderers

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.14 Fair: 1.91 Betfair Exchange

+12.04%

Model: 52.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.33 Fair: 1.31 Bet365

+1.53%

Model: 76.5%

Bradford City vs Northampton Town

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

HT Result

Away

7.20 Fair: 6.41 Pinnacle

+12.32%

Model: 15.6%

BTTS

No

1.85 Fair: 1.65 Kambi Group

+12.12%

Model: 60.6%

FT Result

Home

1.49 Fair: 1.46 Kambi Group

+2.05%

Model: 68.5%

Huddersfield Town vs Reading

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Away

4.50 Fair: 4.07 Betfair Exchange

+10.57%

Model: 24.5%

HT Result

Away

5.15 Fair: 4.67 1xBet

+10.28%

Model: 21.4%

Blackpool vs Exeter City

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.19 Fair: 2.07 Pinnacle

+5.8%

Model: 48.4%

Burton Albion vs Barnsley

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Away

3.55 Fair: 2.97 Betfair Exchange

+19.53%

Model: 33.7%

HT Result

Away

3.95 Fair: 3.79 Pinnacle

+4.22%

Model: 26.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.75 Fair: 1.73 WilliamHill

+1.16%

Model: 57.9%

Rotherham United vs Stevenage

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

FT Result

Home

3.50 Fair: 2.71 Betfair Exchange

+29.15%

Model: 36.9%

HT Result

Home

4.28 Fair: 3.43 1xBet

+24.78%

Model: 29.1%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.61 Fair: 1.53 Bet365

+5.23%

Model: 65.6%

Plymouth Argyle vs Bolton Wanderers

poor

Fri 3rd, 15:00

BTTS

No

2.43 Fair: 2.21 Kambi Group

+9.95%

Model: 45.2%

FT Result

Away

2.84 Fair: 2.60 Betfair Exchange

+9.23%

Model: 38.5%

HT Result

Draw

2.42 Fair: 2.38 Pinnacle

+1.68%

Model: 42%

Peterborough United vs Cardiff City

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

4.03 Fair: 3.38 1xBet

+19.23%

Model: 29.6%

Barnsley vs Plymouth Argyle

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

BTTS

No

2.60 Fair: 2.27 Kambi Group

+14.54%

Model: 44.1%

FT Result

Away

2.60 Fair: 2.40 Kambi Group

+8.33%

Model: 41.6%

Reading vs Lincoln City

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

3.75 Fair: 3.00 Kambi Group

+25%

Model: 33.4%

HT Result

Home

3.95 Fair: 3.57 Kambi Group

+10.64%

Model: 28.1%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.78 Fair: 1.62 Kambi Group

+9.88%

Model: 61.7%

BTTS

No

2.00 Fair: 1.92 Kambi Group

+4.17%

Model: 52%

Exeter City vs Doncaster Rovers

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

BTTS

No

2.23 Fair: 2.04 Kambi Group

+9.31%

Model: 49.1%

AFC Wimbledon vs Luton Town

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.90 Fair: 2.49 Kambi Group

+16.47%

Model: 40.1%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.54 Fair: 1.50 Kambi Group

+2.67%

Model: 66.7%

HT Result

Home

3.30 Fair: 3.23 Kambi Group

+2.17%

Model: 31%

Leyton Orient vs Huddersfield Town

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.85 Fair: 2.15 Kambi Group

+32.56%

Model: 46.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.50 Fair: 1.37 Kambi Group

+9.49%

Model: 73%

HT Result

Home

3.30 Fair: 3.18 Kambi Group

+3.77%

Model: 31.4%

Stevenage vs Blackpool

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

1.88 Fair: 1.86 Kambi Group

+1.08%

Model: 53.6%

Wycombe Wanderers vs Bradford City

poor

Mon 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.09 Fair: 1.74 1xBet

+20.11%

Model: 57.3%

Port Vale vs Rotherham United

poor

Tue 7th, 19:45

FT Result

Home

2.38 Fair: 2.08 1xBet

+14.42%

Model: 48.1%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.