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League One Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for League One

Find value bets for League One fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Reading vs Leyton Orient

poor

Wed 21st, 20:00

FT Result

Away

7.60 Fair: 2.78 Betfair Exchange

+173.38%

Model: 36%

HT Result

Away

6.53 Fair: 3.83 Pinnacle

+70.5%

Model: 26.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.64 Fair: 1.62 1xBet

+62.96%

Model: 61.9%

FT Result

Draw

4.80 Fair: 3.86 Betfair Exchange

+24.35%

Model: 25.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.68 Fair: 2.36 Pinnacle

+13.56%

Model: 42.3%

Luton Town vs Leicester City

poor

Sat 24th, 12:30

BTTS

No

2.66 Fair: 2.21 1xBet

+20.36%

Model: 45.2%

HT Result

Home

2.75 Fair: 2.42 Bet365

+13.64%

Model: 41.4%

FT Result

Draw

4.18 Fair: 3.86 Pinnacle

+8.29%

Model: 25.9%

FT Result

Home

2.24 Fair: 2.10 Betfair Exchange

+6.67%

Model: 47.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.40 Fair: 1.36 Bet365

+2.94%

Model: 73.5%

Huddersfield Town vs Wigan Athletic

poor

Sat 24th, 12:30

FT Result

Away

8.80 Fair: 6.72 Betfair Exchange

+30.95%

Model: 14.9%

FT Result

Draw

5.35 Fair: 4.46 Pinnacle

+19.96%

Model: 22.4%

HT Result

Away

7.37 Fair: 6.33 Pinnacle

+16.43%

Model: 15.8%

HT Result

Draw

2.73 Fair: 2.40 Pinnacle

+13.75%

Model: 41.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.00 Fair: 2.68 Bet365

+11.94%

Model: 37.3%

BTTS

No

1.95 Fair: 1.83 Bet365

+6.56%

Model: 54.5%

Reading vs Barnsley

poor

Sat 24th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

5.00 Fair: 3.58 FanDuel

+39.66%

Model: 27.9%

HT Result

Away

4.92 Fair: 3.78 1xBet

+30.16%

Model: 26.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.37 Fair: 1.93 Bet365

+22.8%

Model: 51.8%

BTTS

No

2.45 Fair: 2.25 WilliamHill

+8.89%

Model: 44.4%

FT Result

Draw

4.50 Fair: 4.19 FanDuel

+7.4%

Model: 23.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.75 Fair: 2.57 WilliamHill

+7%

Model: 38.8%

Bromley vs Peterborough United

poor

Sat 24th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

3.35 Fair: 2.54 Kambi Group

+31.89%

Model: 39.3%

BTTS

No

2.70 Fair: 2.20 WilliamHill

+22.73%

Model: 45.5%

HT Result

Draw

2.56 Fair: 2.33 Pinnacle

+9.87%

Model: 43%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.68 Fair: 1.56 1xBet

+7.69%

Model: 64.3%

FT Result

Draw

4.10 Fair: 4.01 Betfair Exchange

+2.24%

Model: 24.9%

Cambridge United vs Plymouth Argyle

poor

Sat 24th, 15:00

BTTS

No

2.40 Fair: 2.28 WilliamHill

+5.26%

Model: 43.8%

HT Result

Draw

2.37 Fair: 2.29 Bet365

+3.49%

Model: 43.7%

Notts County vs Stockport County

poor

Sat 24th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

5.90 Fair: 3.96 Betfair Exchange

+48.99%

Model: 25.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.37 Fair: 2.00 Bet365

+18.5%

Model: 50%

HT Result

Home

5.79 Fair: 4.92 Pinnacle

+17.68%

Model: 20.3%

HT Result

Draw

2.41 Fair: 2.17 Pinnacle

+11.06%

Model: 46.2%

BTTS

Yes

1.90 Fair: 1.78 Bet365

+6.74%

Model: 56.1%

FT Result

Draw

4.20 Fair: 4.05 Kambi Group

+3.7%

Model: 24.7%

AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers

poor

Sat 24th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

4.00 Fair: 3.07 Betfair Exchange

+30.29%

Model: 32.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.90 Fair: 1.66 Bet365

+14.46%

Model: 60.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.36 Fair: 2.20 Pinnacle

+7.27%

Model: 45.4%

HT Result

Home

4.38 Fair: 4.11 Pinnacle

+6.57%

Model: 24.3%

BTTS

No

2.15 Fair: 2.05 WilliamHill

+4.88%

Model: 48.9%

FT Result

Draw

3.71 Fair: 3.59 Pinnacle

+3.34%

Model: 27.9%

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons

poor

Sat 24th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

3.90 Fair: 3.02 Kambi Group

+29.14%

Model: 33.1%

HT Result

Away

4.43 Fair: 3.75 1xBet

+18.13%

Model: 26.7%

BTTS

Yes

1.91 Fair: 1.81 Bet365

+5.52%

Model: 55.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.75 Fair: 1.70 WilliamHill

+2.94%

Model: 58.9%

Doncaster Rovers vs Sheffield Wednesday

poor

Sat 24th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.80 Fair: 2.37 Kambi Group

+18.14%

Model: 42.2%

BTTS

No

2.38 Fair: 2.03 Kambi Group

+17.24%

Model: 49.3%

HT Result

Draw

2.38 Fair: 2.20 Pinnacle

+8.18%

Model: 45.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.57 Fair: 1.46 Bet365

+7.53%

Model: 68.6%

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town

poor

Sat 24th, 15:00

FT Result

Home

2.92 Fair: 2.49 Betfair Exchange

+17.27%

Model: 40.2%

HT Result

Home

3.29 Fair: 3.05 Pinnacle

+7.87%

Model: 32.8%

BTTS

No

2.37 Fair: 2.20 Bet365

+7.73%

Model: 45.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.33 Fair: 2.27 Pinnacle

+2.64%

Model: 44%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.53 Fair: 1.50 Bet365

+2%

Model: 66.7%

FT Result

Draw

3.80 Fair: 3.77 Betfair Exchange

+0.8%

Model: 26.5%

Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient

poor

Sat 24th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

2.70 Fair: 2.33 Kambi Group

+15.88%

Model: 43%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.50 Fair: 1.43 Bet365

+4.9%

Model: 70%

Oxford United vs Stockport County

poor

Tue 27th, 19:45

BTTS

No

2.25 Fair: 2.15 Kambi Group

+4.65%

Model: 46.5%

Leicester City vs Wigan Athletic

poor

Tue 27th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

5.40 Fair: 4.43 Kambi Group

+21.9%

Model: 22.6%

Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United

poor

Tue 27th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

3.53 Fair: 2.57 Pinnacle

+37.35%

Model: 38.9%

BTTS

No

2.38 Fair: 1.93 Kambi Group

+23.32%

Model: 51.7%

FT Result

Draw

3.83 Fair: 3.43 Pinnacle

+11.66%

Model: 29.2%

Luton Town vs Doncaster Rovers

poor

Tue 27th, 19:45

FT Result

Home

1.77 Fair: 1.74 Kambi Group

+1.72%

Model: 57.5%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.