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Meistriliiga Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Meistriliiga

Find value bets for Meistriliiga fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Paide vs Levadia

high

Sun 6th, 12:30

HT Result

Home

5.71 Fair: 5.15 1xBet

+10.87%

Model: 19.4%

FT Result

Away

1.63 Fair: 1.53 Kambi Group

+6.54%

Model: 65.5%

BTTS

Yes

1.70 Fair: 1.62 Betfair Exchange

+4.94%

Model: 61.9%

Harju Jalgpallikool vs Tammeka

high

Sun 6th, 15:00

FT Result

Away

3.00 Fair: 2.03 Betfair Exchange

+47.78%

Model: 49.2%

HT Result

Away

3.40 Fair: 2.81 1xBet

+21%

Model: 35.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.62 Fair: 1.41 WilliamHill

+14.89%

Model: 70.7%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.29 Fair: 1.27 WilliamHill

+1.57%

Model: 78.5%

JK Trans Narva vs Flora

high

Tue 8th, 15:30

FT Result

Home

3.98 Fair: 3.76 1xBet

+5.85%

Model: 26.6%

Nõmme Kalju vs Nõmme United

high

Tue 8th, 16:00

FT Result

Away

5.29 Fair: 4.72 1xBet

+12.08%

Model: 21.2%

FT Result

Draw

4.60 Fair: 4.59 1xBet

+0.22%

Model: 21.8%

Levadia vs Kuressaare

high

Wed 9th, 17:00

FT Result

Away

16.00 Fair: 15.85 1xBet

+0.95%

Model: 6.3%

Tammeka vs Paide

high

Wed 9th, 17:00

FT Result

Home

4.03 Fair: 2.63 1xBet

+53.23%

Model: 38%

Paide vs Vaprus

high

Wed 16th, 17:00

FT Result

Away

6.00 Fair: 3.99 Bet365

+50.38%

Model: 25%

BTTS

Yes

1.73 Fair: 1.56 Bet365

+10.9%

Model: 64%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.