Join The Team!

A signing like no other...

Name

Email

Password

Selected Plan:

Pro£19.99/m

Pro w/ API£69.99/m

Season Ticket£179.99

Europa Conference League Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Europa Conference League

Find value bets for Europa Conference League fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Kairat vs Panathinaikos

medium

Thu 22nd, 15:30

FT Result

Home

5.40 Fair: 2.69 Betfair Exchange

+100.74%

Model: 37.1%

HT Result

Home

5.52 Fair: 3.51 Pinnacle

+57.26%

Model: 28.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.25 Fair: 1.62 Bet365

+38.89%

Model: 61.9%

BTTS

Yes

1.92 Fair: 1.81 Betfair Exchange

+6.08%

Model: 55.3%

HT Result

Draw

2.38 Fair: 2.33 Pinnacle

+2.15%

Model: 42.8%

FT Result

Draw

4.10 Fair: 4.04 Betfair Exchange

+1.49%

Model: 24.7%

Pafos FC vs Riga

medium

Thu 22nd, 17:45

FT Result

Away

5.70 Fair: 2.93 Betfair Exchange

+94.54%

Model: 34.1%

HT Result

Away

5.71 Fair: 3.09 Pinnacle

+84.79%

Model: 32.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.36 Fair: 1.72 1xBet

+37.21%

Model: 58.2%

BTTS

No

2.08 Fair: 1.92 Betfair Exchange

+8.33%

Model: 52.1%

HT Result

Draw

2.46 Fair: 2.40 Pinnacle

+2.5%

Model: 41.7%

FT Result

Draw

4.20 Fair: 4.15 FanDuel

+1.2%

Model: 24.1%

Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia

medium

Thu 22nd, 17:45

FT Result

Away

7.80 Fair: 4.25 Betfair Exchange

+83.53%

Model: 23.5%

HT Result

Away

6.70 Fair: 4.22 Pinnacle

+58.77%

Model: 23.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.07 Fair: 2.13 1xBet

+44.13%

Model: 46.9%

FT Result

Draw

5.30 Fair: 4.28 Betfair Exchange

+23.83%

Model: 23.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.74 Fair: 2.43 Pinnacle

+12.76%

Model: 41.1%

BTTS

No

2.12 Fair: 2.07 Betfair Exchange

+2.42%

Model: 48.4%

Kauno Žalgiris vs Brann

medium

Thu 22nd, 17:45

FT Result

Home

4.75 Fair: 3.31 Bet365

+43.5%

Model: 30.2%

HT Result

Home

4.90 Fair: 3.86 Pinnacle

+26.94%

Model: 25.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.10 Fair: 1.82 WilliamHill

+15.38%

Model: 55%

FT Result

Draw

4.33 Fair: 4.04 Pinnacle

+7.18%

Model: 24.7%

HT Result

Draw

2.41 Fair: 2.39 Pinnacle

+0.84%

Model: 41.9%

Crvena Zvezda vs FC København

medium

Thu 22nd, 17:45

FT Result

Home

2.38 Fair: 1.79 Betfair Exchange

+32.96%

Model: 56%

HT Result

Home

2.79 Fair: 2.17 Pinnacle

+28.57%

Model: 46.2%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.41 Fair: 1.30 1xBet

+8.46%

Model: 77.1%

BTTS

No

2.50 Fair: 2.35 Betfair Exchange

+6.38%

Model: 42.6%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.30 Fair: 1.27 WilliamHill

+2.36%

Model: 78.9%

FC Iberia 1999 vs Mjällby

medium

Thu 22nd, 17:45

FT Result

Home

3.37 Fair: 2.68 1xBet

+25.75%

Model: 37.3%

HT Result

Home

3.92 Fair: 3.29 1xBet

+19.15%

Model: 30.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.67 Fair: 1.62 1xBet

+3.09%

Model: 61.9%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.34 Fair: 1.33 1xBet

+0.75%

Model: 75.4%

Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove Albion

medium

Thu 22nd, 17:45

FT Result

Home

11.00 Fair: 3.16 Betfair Exchange

+248.1%

Model: 31.7%

HT Result

Home

8.50 Fair: 3.24 Bet365

+162.35%

Model: 30.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

3.75 Fair: 1.78 Bet365

+110.67%

Model: 56.1%

FT Result

Draw

6.20 Fair: 4.09 Betfair Exchange

+51.59%

Model: 24.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.86 Fair: 2.43 Pinnacle

+17.7%

Model: 41.1%

BTTS

Yes

1.98 Fair: 1.79 Betfair Exchange

+10.61%

Model: 55.9%

Trabzonspor vs Hearts

medium

Thu 22nd, 17:45

FT Result

Away

9.65 Fair: 3.25 1xBet

+196.92%

Model: 30.8%

HT Result

Away

7.61 Fair: 3.29 Pinnacle

+131.31%

Model: 30.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.68 Fair: 1.87 1xBet

+96.79%

Model: 53.5%

FT Result

Draw

6.20 Fair: 4.41 Betfair Exchange

+40.59%

Model: 22.7%

HT Result

Draw

2.95 Fair: 2.53 Pinnacle

+16.6%

Model: 39.6%

BTTS

No

2.12 Fair: 2.04 FanDuel

+3.92%

Model: 49%

Getafe vs Lugano

medium

Thu 22nd, 17:45

FT Result

Away

4.90 Fair: 1.82 Betfair Exchange

+169.23%

Model: 54.9%

HT Result

Away

5.23 Fair: 2.32 Pinnacle

+125.43%

Model: 43.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.00 Fair: 1.26 Bet365

+58.73%

Model: 79.6%

BTTS

No

1.91 Fair: 1.80 Betfair Exchange

+6.11%

Model: 55.6%

Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea Craiova

medium

Thu 22nd, 17:45

FT Result

Home

6.00 Fair: 2.74 Betfair Exchange

+118.98%

Model: 36.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.34 Fair: 1.56 1xBet

+50%

Model: 64%

HT Result

Home

6.23 Fair: 4.36 Pinnacle

+42.89%

Model: 22.9%

FT Result

Draw

4.10 Fair: 3.63 Betfair Exchange

+12.95%

Model: 27.5%

HT Result

Draw

2.37 Fair: 2.13 Pinnacle

+11.27%

Model: 47%

BTTS

Yes

1.95 Fair: 1.94 Betfair Exchange

+0.52%

Model: 51.6%

Lincoln Red Imps vs FC Twente

medium

Thu 22nd, 20:00

FT Result

Home

14.00 Fair: 4.94 Betfair Exchange

+183.4%

Model: 20.2%

Double Chance

Home Draw

4.50 Fair: 2.31 1xBet

+94.81%

Model: 43.4%

HT Result

Home

10.00 Fair: 5.35 Bet365

+86.92%

Model: 18.7%

FT Result

Draw

7.00 Fair: 4.32 Betfair Exchange

+62.04%

Model: 23.1%

HT Result

Draw

3.09 Fair: 2.54 Pinnacle

+21.65%

Model: 39.4%

BTTS

Yes

2.10 Fair: 1.99 Betfair Exchange

+5.53%

Model: 50.2%

Ajax vs Atalanta

medium

Thu 22nd, 20:00

HT Result

Home

2.73 Fair: 2.06 Pinnacle

+32.52%

Model: 48.6%

FT Result

Home

2.20 Fair: 1.74 Betfair Exchange

+26.44%

Model: 57.6%

BTTS

No

2.62 Fair: 2.40 Betfair Exchange

+9.17%

Model: 41.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.36 Fair: 1.30 Bet365

+4.62%

Model: 77.1%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.28 Fair: 1.24 Bet365

+3.23%

Model: 80.5%

AGF vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë

medium

Thu 22nd, 20:00

FT Result

Away

6.60 Fair: 3.71 Betfair Exchange

+77.9%

Model: 26.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.48 Fair: 1.94 1xBet

+27.84%

Model: 51.5%

FT Result

Draw

4.50 Fair: 4.08 Betfair Exchange

+10.29%

Model: 24.5%

HT Result

Away

6.09 Fair: 5.81 Pinnacle

+4.82%

Model: 17.2%

Thun vs Hajduk Split

medium

Thu 22nd, 20:00

FT Result

Away

2.52 Fair: 2.23 1xBet

+13%

Model: 44.9%

HT Result

Away

2.97 Fair: 2.68 1xBet

+10.82%

Model: 37.3%

BTTS

No

2.56 Fair: 2.48 Betfair Exchange

+3.23%

Model: 40.3%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.32 Fair: 1.30 1xBet

+1.54%

Model: 76.8%

Monaco vs SC Freiburg

medium

Thu 22nd, 20:00

FT Result

Home

2.32 Fair: 2.12 Betfair Exchange

+9.43%

Model: 47.3%

HT Result

Home

2.83 Fair: 2.64 Pinnacle

+7.2%

Model: 37.9%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.31 Fair: 1.30 1xBet

+0.77%

Model: 76.9%

Sporting Braga vs Gent

medium

Thu 22nd, 20:00

FT Result

Away

4.72 Fair: 2.93 1xBet

+61.09%

Model: 34.2%

HT Result

Away

5.15 Fair: 4.01 1xBet

+28.43%

Model: 24.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.02 Fair: 1.69 1xBet

+19.53%

Model: 59.3%

BTTS

Yes

2.00 Fair: 1.83 FanDuel

+9.29%

Model: 54.8%

Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS

medium

Thu 22nd, 20:00

FT Result

Away

4.70 Fair: 4.29 Betfair Exchange

+9.56%

Model: 23.3%

FC Midtjylland vs Sint-Truiden

medium

Thu 22nd, 20:00

FT Result

Away

5.10 Fair: 4.11 Betfair Exchange

+24.09%

Model: 24.3%

HT Result

Away

4.93 Fair: 4.28 Pinnacle

+15.19%

Model: 23.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.25 Fair: 2.12 Bet365

+6.13%

Model: 47.3%

BTTS

No

2.38 Fair: 2.27 Betfair Exchange

+4.85%

Model: 44.1%

HT Result

Draw

2.56 Fair: 2.46 Pinnacle

+4.07%

Model: 40.6%

FT Result

Draw

4.40 Fair: 4.36 Betfair Exchange

+0.92%

Model: 22.9%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.