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Europa Conference League Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Europa Conference League

Find value bets for Europa Conference League fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Malisheva vs Hibernian

medium

Thu 23rd, 15:30

FT Result

Home

6.20 Fair: 4.10 Betfair Exchange

+51.22%

Model: 24.4%

HT Result

Home

6.00 Fair: 4.91 WilliamHill

+22.2%

Model: 20.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.43 Fair: 2.08 1xBet

+16.83%

Model: 48.1%

BTTS

Yes

1.91 Fair: 1.82 Bet365

+4.95%

Model: 54.9%

FT Result

Draw

4.40 Fair: 4.22 Betfair Exchange

+4.27%

Model: 23.7%

Liepāja vs Austria Wien

medium

Thu 23rd, 16:00

FT Result

Home

7.63 Fair: 2.63 Pinnacle

+190.11%

Model: 38.1%

HT Result

Home

8.00 Fair: 3.27 WilliamHill

+144.65%

Model: 30.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.88 Fair: 1.61 WilliamHill

+78.88%

Model: 62.1%

BTTS

Yes

2.10 Fair: 1.67 Bet365

+25.75%

Model: 60%

FT Result

Draw

4.75 Fair: 4.17 Bet365

+13.91%

Model: 24%

Alashkert vs CFR Cluj

medium

Thu 23rd, 16:00

FT Result

Home

3.75 Fair: 3.09 Betfair Exchange

+21.36%

Model: 32.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.73 Fair: 1.66 WilliamHill

+4.22%

Model: 60.3%

HT Result

Home

4.62 Fair: 4.47 1xBet

+3.36%

Model: 22.4%

BTTS

No

1.92 Fair: 1.91 Betfair Exchange

+0.52%

Model: 52.5%

Panevėžys vs Tobol

medium

Thu 23rd, 16:30

FT Result

Home

3.55 Fair: 2.69 Betfair Exchange

+31.97%

Model: 37.2%

HT Result

Home

4.00 Fair: 3.60 Bet365

+11.11%

Model: 27.8%

BTTS

Yes

2.02 Fair: 1.83 FanDuel

+10.38%

Model: 54.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.67 Fair: 1.60 WilliamHill

+4.37%

Model: 62.6%

medium

Thu 23rd, 17:00

FT Result

Home

11.00 Fair: 2.32 Betfair Exchange

+374.14%

Model: 43.1%

HT Result

Home

8.00 Fair: 2.71 Bet365

+195.2%

Model: 36.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

3.40 Fair: 1.47 Bet365

+131.29%

Model: 68%

FT Result

Draw

5.90 Fair: 4.03 Betfair Exchange

+46.4%

Model: 24.8%

BTTS

Yes

2.20 Fair: 1.82 Betfair Exchange

+20.88%

Model: 54.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.69 Fair: 2.42 1xBet

+11.16%

Model: 41.4%

Flora vs The New Saints

medium

Thu 23rd, 17:00

FT Result

Away

3.05 Fair: 2.50 Betfair Exchange

+22%

Model: 40.1%

HT Result

Away

3.48 Fair: 3.09 1xBet

+12.62%

Model: 32.3%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.30 Fair: 1.28 WilliamHill

+1.56%

Model: 78.4%

Dila vs Apollon

medium

Thu 23rd, 17:00

FT Result

Home

4.60 Fair: 2.17 Betfair Exchange

+111.98%

Model: 46.1%

HT Result

Home

5.30 Fair: 2.76 1xBet

+92.03%

Model: 36.2%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.90 Fair: 1.39 1xBet

+36.69%

Model: 71.8%

BTTS

Yes

2.00 Fair: 1.94 Bet365

+3.09%

Model: 51.5%

Debrecen vs Pyunik

medium

Thu 23rd, 17:00

FT Result

Away

5.30 Fair: 2.84 Betfair Exchange

+86.62%

Model: 35.3%

HT Result

Away

5.19 Fair: 3.25 1xBet

+59.69%

Model: 30.8%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.95 Fair: 1.67 WilliamHill

+16.77%

Model: 60%

BTTS

Yes

1.91 Fair: 1.84 FanDuel

+3.8%

Model: 54.4%

HJK vs Coleraine

medium

Thu 23rd, 17:00

FT Result

Away

7.80 Fair: 2.96 Betfair Exchange

+163.51%

Model: 33.8%

HT Result

Away

6.79 Fair: 3.28 1xBet

+107.01%

Model: 30.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.83 Fair: 1.74 1xBet

+62.64%

Model: 57.6%

FT Result

Draw

5.10 Fair: 4.21 Betfair Exchange

+21.14%

Model: 23.8%

BTTS

Yes

1.91 Fair: 1.80 Bet365

+6.11%

Model: 55.5%

HT Result

Draw

2.63 Fair: 2.53 Kambi Group

+3.95%

Model: 39.6%

Dunajská Streda vs Velez

medium

Thu 23rd, 17:30

FT Result

Away

14.00 Fair: 6.14 Betfair Exchange

+128.01%

Model: 16.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.88 Fair: 2.65 1xBet

+46.42%

Model: 37.7%

FT Result

Draw

6.40 Fair: 4.67 Betfair Exchange

+37.04%

Model: 21.4%

BTTS

Yes

2.44 Fair: 2.15 Betfair Exchange

+13.49%

Model: 46.6%

HT Result

Away

9.30 Fair: 8.43 1xBet

+10.32%

Model: 11.9%

Raków Częstochowa vs Valletta

medium

Thu 23rd, 17:30

FT Result

Away

32.00 Fair: 3.57 Betfair Exchange

+796.36%

Model: 28%

HT Result

Away

17.50 Fair: 4.31 1xBet

+306.03%

Model: 23.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

6.45 Fair: 1.91 1xBet

+237.7%

Model: 52.4%

FT Result

Draw

11.00 Fair: 4.11 Betfair Exchange

+167.64%

Model: 24.4%

BTTS

Yes

2.80 Fair: 1.81 1xBet

+54.7%

Model: 55.3%

HT Result

Draw

3.15 Fair: 2.20 Kambi Group

+43.18%

Model: 45.5%

AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem

medium

Thu 23rd, 17:30

HT Result

Away

4.71 Fair: 2.82 1xBet

+67.02%

Model: 35.4%

FT Result

Away

4.20 Fair: 2.63 Betfair Exchange

+59.7%

Model: 38.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.84 Fair: 1.60 1xBet

+15%

Model: 62.4%

BTTS

Yes

1.91 Fair: 1.80 Betano

+6.11%

Model: 55.6%

Rīgas FS vs Vestri

medium

Thu 23rd, 17:30

FT Result

Away

46.00 Fair: 9.54 WilliamHill

+382.18%

Model: 10.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

9.30 Fair: 4.22 1xBet

+120.38%

Model: 23.7%

FT Result

Draw

16.50 Fair: 7.56 Betfair Exchange

+118.25%

Model: 13.2%

HT Result

Away

22.00 Fair: 12.20 1xBet

+80.33%

Model: 8.2%

BTTS

Yes

3.00 Fair: 2.26 Bet365

+32.74%

Model: 44.2%

HT Result

Draw

4.40 Fair: 4.38 Kambi Group

+0.46%

Model: 22.8%

medium

Thu 23rd, 18:00

FT Result

Home

15.00 Fair: 6.64 Betfair Exchange

+125.9%

Model: 15.1%

Double Chance

Home Draw

3.98 Fair: 2.87 1xBet

+38.68%

Model: 34.9%

FT Result

Draw

6.60 Fair: 5.05 Betfair Exchange

+30.69%

Model: 19.8%

HT Result

Home

11.00 Fair: 10.26 WilliamHill

+7.21%

Model: 9.8%

BTTS

Yes

2.48 Fair: 2.33 Betfair Exchange

+6.44%

Model: 42.9%

Universitatea Cluj vs Brann

medium

Thu 23rd, 18:00

HT Result

Home

3.98 Fair: 3.24 1xBet

+22.84%

Model: 30.9%

FT Result

Home

3.45 Fair: 2.92 Betfair Exchange

+18.15%

Model: 34.2%

Dinamo Tbilisi vs Žalgiris

medium

Thu 23rd, 18:00

FT Result

Away

3.70 Fair: 2.77 Betfair Exchange

+33.57%

Model: 36.1%

HT Result

Away

4.50 Fair: 3.79 1xBet

+18.73%

Model: 26.4%

BTTS

Yes

2.01 Fair: 1.83 1xBet

+9.84%

Model: 54.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.70 Fair: 1.64 WilliamHill

+3.66%

Model: 60.9%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.35 Fair: 1.33 WilliamHill

+1.5%

Model: 75.2%

medium

Thu 23rd, 18:00

FT Result

Home

4.90 Fair: 2.99 Betfair Exchange

+63.88%

Model: 33.4%

HT Result

Home

5.33 Fair: 3.75 1xBet

+42.13%

Model: 26.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.10 Fair: 1.73 1xBet

+21.39%

Model: 57.7%

BTTS

Yes

1.83 Fair: 1.79 Betfair Exchange

+2.23%

Model: 55.7%

FC Santa Coloma vs SK Rapid

medium

Thu 23rd, 18:00

FT Result

Home

13.00 Fair: 2.55 Betfair Exchange

+409.8%

Model: 39.2%

HT Result

Home

10.00 Fair: 3.12 WilliamHill

+220.51%

Model: 32%

Double Chance

Home Draw

4.40 Fair: 1.57 1xBet

+180.25%

Model: 63.8%

FT Result

Draw

7.00 Fair: 4.06 Betfair Exchange

+72.41%

Model: 24.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.90 Fair: 2.30 Kambi Group

+26.09%

Model: 43.4%

BTTS

Yes

2.04 Fair: 1.85 Betfair Exchange

+10.27%

Model: 54%

GAIS vs Nordsjælland

medium

Thu 23rd, 18:00

FT Result

Home

3.05 Fair: 1.80 Betfair Exchange

+69.44%

Model: 55.6%

HT Result

Home

3.52 Fair: 2.67 1xBet

+31.84%

Model: 37.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.55 Fair: 1.28 Bet365

+21.09%

Model: 78.3%

BTTS

No

2.16 Fair: 2.07 Betfair Exchange

+4.35%

Model: 48.3%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.30 Fair: 1.29 WilliamHill

+0.78%

Model: 77.3%

ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska

medium

Thu 23rd, 18:00

FT Result

Away

4.90 Fair: 3.57 Betfair Exchange

+37.25%

Model: 28%

BTTS

Yes

2.00 Fair: 1.90 FanDuel

+5.26%

Model: 52.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.05 Fair: 1.95 WilliamHill

+5.13%

Model: 51.4%

HT Result

Away

5.12 Fair: 4.96 1xBet

+3.23%

Model: 20.2%

Vaduz vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

medium

Thu 23rd, 18:30

FT Result

Away

11.00 Fair: 3.47 Betfair Exchange

+217%

Model: 28.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.00 Fair: 1.94 Bet365

+54.64%

Model: 51.5%

HT Result

Away

7.00 Fair: 5.36 Bet365

+30.6%

Model: 18.7%

FT Result

Draw

5.50 Fair: 4.41 Betfair Exchange

+24.72%

Model: 22.7%

BTTS

Yes

2.08 Fair: 1.74 Betfair Exchange

+19.54%

Model: 57.5%

HT Result

Draw

2.50 Fair: 2.40 Bet365

+4.17%

Model: 41.7%

medium

Thu 23rd, 18:45

FT Result

Away

16.50 Fair: 5.01 Betfair Exchange

+229.34%

Model: 20%

HT Result

Away

11.10 Fair: 5.39 1xBet

+105.94%

Model: 18.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

4.60 Fair: 2.44 WilliamHill

+88.52%

Model: 40.9%

FT Result

Draw

7.00 Fair: 4.77 Betfair Exchange

+46.75%

Model: 21%

BTTS

Yes

2.40 Fair: 1.79 WilliamHill

+34.08%

Model: 55.8%

HT Result

Draw

2.70 Fair: 2.61 Kambi Group

+3.45%

Model: 38.3%

Polissya Zhytomyr vs FC København

medium

Thu 23rd, 19:00

FT Result

Home

4.30 Fair: 2.86 Betfair Exchange

+50.35%

Model: 35%

HT Result

Home

4.33 Fair: 3.33 Bet365

+30.03%

Model: 30%

BTTS

Yes

1.80 Fair: 1.68 Bet365

+7.14%

Model: 59.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.83 Fair: 1.71 Bet365

+7.02%

Model: 58.3%

Vojvodina vs Ajax

medium

Thu 23rd, 19:00

FT Result

Home

7.00 Fair: 2.73 Kambi Group

+156.41%

Model: 36.6%

HT Result

Home

6.00 Fair: 3.30 Kambi Group

+81.82%

Model: 30.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.48 Fair: 1.64 Kambi Group

+51.22%

Model: 61%

BTTS

Yes

1.91 Fair: 1.81 WilliamHill

+5.52%

Model: 55.4%

FT Result

Draw

4.30 Fair: 4.11 Betfair Exchange

+4.62%

Model: 24.3%

Varaždin vs Jablonec

medium

Thu 23rd, 19:00

FT Result

Home

3.00 Fair: 2.44 Betfair Exchange

+22.95%

Model: 41.1%

HT Result

Home

3.70 Fair: 3.26 1xBet

+13.5%

Model: 30.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.60 Fair: 1.51 WilliamHill

+5.96%

Model: 66.4%

Aluminij vs Dinamo City

medium

Thu 23rd, 19:00

FT Result

Away

2.52 Fair: 2.02 Betfair Exchange

+24.75%

Model: 49.5%

HT Result

Away

3.10 Fair: 2.74 Bet365

+13.14%

Model: 36.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.44 Fair: 1.38 Bet365

+4.35%

Model: 72.6%

Paksi SE vs Panathinaikos

medium

Thu 23rd, 19:00

FT Result

Home

5.20 Fair: 2.39 FanDuel

+117.57%

Model: 41.8%

HT Result

Home

5.00 Fair: 3.19 WilliamHill

+56.74%

Model: 31.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.28 Fair: 1.53 Kambi Group

+49.02%

Model: 65.4%

FT Result

Draw

4.49 Fair: 4.23 Pinnacle

+6.15%

Model: 23.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.50 Fair: 2.47 1xBet

+1.21%

Model: 40.4%

BTTS

Yes

1.73 Fair: 1.71 Kambi Group

+1.17%

Model: 58.4%

Lugano vs Dukagjini

medium

Thu 23rd, 19:30

FT Result

Away

17.00 Fair: 7.51 Betfair Exchange

+126.36%

Model: 13.3%

HT Result

Away

13.00 Fair: 8.04 Bet365

+61.69%

Model: 12.4%

BTTS

Yes

2.50 Fair: 1.84 FanDuel

+35.87%

Model: 54.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

4.40 Fair: 3.26 WilliamHill

+34.97%

Model: 30.6%

FT Result

Draw

7.00 Fair: 5.77 Kambi Group

+21.32%

Model: 17.3%

HT Result

Draw

2.95 Fair: 2.66 Kambi Group

+10.9%

Model: 37.7%

Borac Banja Luka vs Petrocub

medium

Thu 23rd, 19:30

FT Result

Away

6.60 Fair: 4.31 Betfair Exchange

+53.13%

Model: 23.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.64 Fair: 2.09 1xBet

+26.32%

Model: 48%

HT Result

Away

5.88 Fair: 4.79 1xBet

+22.76%

Model: 20.9%

FT Result

Draw

4.80 Fair: 4.04 FanDuel

+18.81%

Model: 24.8%

BTTS

No

2.08 Fair: 1.89 Betfair Exchange

+10.05%

Model: 52.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.60 Fair: 2.46 Kambi Group

+5.69%

Model: 40.7%

Žilina vs Katowice

medium

Thu 23rd, 19:30

FT Result

Home

2.75 Fair: 2.14 FanDuel

+28.5%

Model: 46.8%

HT Result

Home

3.20 Fair: 2.57 Bet365

+24.51%

Model: 38.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.53 Fair: 1.42 Kambi Group

+7.75%

Model: 70.4%

LNZ Cherkasy vs Gent

medium

Thu 23rd, 19:30

FT Result

Home

4.01 Fair: 2.97 Pinnacle

+35.02%

Model: 33.6%

HT Result

Home

4.83 Fair: 3.99 1xBet

+21.05%

Model: 25%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.80 Fair: 1.67 WilliamHill

+7.78%

Model: 59.8%

BTTS

Yes

2.00 Fair: 1.96 Bet365

+2.04%

Model: 50.9%

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets

medium

Thu 23rd, 19:30

FT Result

Home

3.55 Fair: 2.54 Betfair Exchange

+39.76%

Model: 39.3%

BTTS

Yes

2.10 Fair: 1.89 Bet365

+11.11%

Model: 52.8%

HT Result

Home

4.30 Fair: 4.00 1xBet

+7.5%

Model: 25%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.60 Fair: 1.55 WilliamHill

+3.23%

Model: 64.5%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.36 Fair: 1.34 WilliamHill

+1.49%

Model: 74.8%

Motherwell vs HB

medium

Thu 23rd, 19:45

FT Result

Away

21.00 Fair: 3.61 Betfair Exchange

+481.72%

Model: 27.7%

HT Result

Away

13.20 Fair: 3.51 1xBet

+276.07%

Model: 28.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

6.00 Fair: 1.99 WilliamHill

+201.51%

Model: 50.4%

FT Result

Draw

9.20 Fair: 4.41 Pinnacle

+108.62%

Model: 22.7%

BTTS

Yes

2.60 Fair: 1.82 WilliamHill

+42.86%

Model: 54.8%

HT Result

Draw

3.12 Fair: 2.61 1xBet

+19.54%

Model: 38.3%

Shelbourne vs Nõmme Kalju

medium

Thu 23rd, 19:45

FT Result

Away

9.20 Fair: 2.46 Betfair Exchange

+273.98%

Model: 40.6%

HT Result

Away

8.50 Fair: 2.87 Bet365

+196.17%

Model: 34.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.00 Fair: 1.56 Bet365

+92.31%

Model: 64.1%

BTTS

Yes

2.38 Fair: 1.76 Betfair Exchange

+35.23%

Model: 56.7%

FT Result

Draw

4.75 Fair: 4.25 Kambi Group

+11.76%

Model: 23.5%

medium

Thu 23rd, 19:45

FT Result

Home

3.30 Fair: 2.51 Betfair Exchange

+31.47%

Model: 39.9%

HT Result

Home

3.64 Fair: 3.27 1xBet

+11.31%

Model: 30.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.70 Fair: 1.56 WilliamHill

+8.97%

Model: 64.3%

BTTS

No

2.26 Fair: 2.24 Betfair Exchange

+0.89%

Model: 44.7%

Rijeka vs Derry City

medium

Thu 23rd, 19:45

FT Result

Away

25.00 Fair: 4.49 Betfair Exchange

+456.79%

Model: 22.3%

HT Result

Away

13.90 Fair: 5.17 1xBet

+168.86%

Model: 19.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

5.65 Fair: 2.16 1xBet

+161.57%

Model: 46.4%

FT Result

Draw

8.80 Fair: 4.15 Betfair Exchange

+112.05%

Model: 24.1%

BTTS

Yes

3.00 Fair: 2.01 Betfair Exchange

+49.25%

Model: 49.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.95 Fair: 2.22 Kambi Group

+32.88%

Model: 45%

Bravo vs Skendija 79

medium

Thu 23rd, 19:45

FT Result

Away

4.50 Fair: 2.49 FanDuel

+80.72%

Model: 40.2%

HT Result

Away

4.33 Fair: 3.09 Bet365

+40.13%

Model: 32.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.95 Fair: 1.58 Bet365

+23.42%

Model: 63.5%

Stjarnan vs Ilves

medium

Thu 23rd, 20:00

FT Result

Home

2.95 Fair: 2.44 FanDuel

+20.9%

Model: 40.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.60 Fair: 1.59 WilliamHill

+0.63%

Model: 62.9%

Partizan vs UNA Strassen

medium

Thu 23rd, 20:00

FT Result

Away

18.50 Fair: 5.07 Betfair Exchange

+264.89%

Model: 19.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

4.33 Fair: 2.45 Bet365

+76.73%

Model: 40.8%

HT Result

Away

10.60 Fair: 6.04 1xBet

+75.5%

Model: 16.6%

FT Result

Draw

7.00 Fair: 4.75 Bet365

+47.37%

Model: 21.1%

BTTS

Yes

2.37 Fair: 1.77 Betano

+33.9%

Model: 56.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.85 Fair: 2.49 Kambi Group

+14.46%

Model: 40.1%

Valur vs Zrinjski

medium

Thu 23rd, 20:15

HT Result

Away

3.05 Fair: 2.62 Kambi Group

+16.41%

Model: 38.2%

FT Result

Home

2.96 Fair: 2.77 Betfair Exchange

+6.86%

Model: 36.1%

FT Result

Away

2.50 Fair: 2.42 Kambi Group

+3.31%

Model: 41.3%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.30 Fair: 1.29 WilliamHill

+0.78%

Model: 77.4%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.