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DFB Pokal Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for DFB Pokal

Find value bets for DFB Pokal fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

VfL Bochum 1848 vs FSV Mainz 05

high

Tue 27th, 17:00

FT Result

Home

5.20 Fair: 2.95 Betfair Exchange

+76.27%

Model: 33.9%

HT Result

Home

5.19 Fair: 3.46 Pinnacle

+50%

Model: 28.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.21 Fair: 1.78 1xBet

+24.16%

Model: 56.1%

Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt

high

Tue 27th, 17:00

FT Result

Away

2.42 Fair: 2.22 Betano

+9.01%

Model: 45.1%

HT Result

Home

3.34 Fair: 3.21 1xBet

+4.05%

Model: 31.1%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.30 Fair: 1.25 WilliamHill

+4%

Model: 80.2%

HT Result

Away

2.87 Fair: 2.84 Bet365

+1.06%

Model: 35.3%

Sonnenhof Großaspach vs FC Augsburg

high

Tue 27th, 17:00

FT Result

Home

7.60 Fair: 3.42 Betfair Exchange

+122.22%

Model: 29.2%

HT Result

Home

6.59 Fair: 3.67 Pinnacle

+79.56%

Model: 27.2%

Double Chance

Home Draw

3.12 Fair: 1.97 1xBet

+58.38%

Model: 50.6%

FT Result

Draw

5.64 Fair: 4.67 Pinnacle

+20.77%

Model: 21.4%

BTTS

Yes

1.67 Fair: 1.47 WilliamHill

+13.61%

Model: 67.8%

Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig

high

Tue 27th, 17:00

FT Result

Home

13.00 Fair: 2.36 Betfair Exchange

+450.85%

Model: 42.4%

HT Result

Home

9.50 Fair: 3.35 Bet365

+183.58%

Model: 29.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

4.55 Fair: 1.62 1xBet

+180.86%

Model: 61.6%

FT Result

Draw

7.40 Fair: 5.20 Betfair Exchange

+42.31%

Model: 19.2%

HT Result

Draw

3.29 Fair: 2.75 Pinnacle

+19.64%

Model: 36.3%

BTTS

Yes

1.80 Fair: 1.57 Bet365

+14.65%

Model: 63.7%

Elversberg vs Darmstadt 98

high

Tue 27th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

6.60 Fair: 2.86 Betfair Exchange

+130.77%

Model: 35%

HT Result

Away

6.13 Fair: 3.46 Pinnacle

+77.17%

Model: 28.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.64 Fair: 1.76 1xBet

+50%

Model: 56.9%

BTTS

Yes

1.70 Fair: 1.51 Bet365

+12.58%

Model: 66.3%

FT Result

Draw

5.02 Fair: 4.56 Pinnacle

+10.09%

Model: 21.9%

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Karlsruher SC

high

Tue 27th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

9.20 Fair: 2.59 Betfair Exchange

+255.21%

Model: 38.6%

HT Result

Away

7.65 Fair: 3.17 Pinnacle

+141.32%

Model: 31.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.35 Fair: 1.60 1xBet

+109.38%

Model: 62.4%

FT Result

Draw

5.80 Fair: 4.19 Betfair Exchange

+38.42%

Model: 23.8%

HT Result

Draw

3.01 Fair: 2.39 Pinnacle

+25.94%

Model: 41.8%

BTTS

Yes

1.70 Fair: 1.66 WilliamHill

+2.41%

Model: 60.4%

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen

high

Tue 27th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

8.00 Fair: 5.97 Betfair Exchange

+34%

Model: 16.8%

HT Result

Away

7.00 Fair: 5.64 Bet365

+24.11%

Model: 17.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.25 Fair: 2.94 Bet365

+10.54%

Model: 34.1%

BTTS

Yes

1.70 Fair: 1.62 Bet365

+4.94%

Model: 61.9%

FC Köln vs FC Union Berlin

high

Tue 27th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

4.45 Fair: 3.18 Betano

+39.94%

Model: 31.4%

HT Result

Away

4.52 Fair: 3.46 1xBet

+30.64%

Model: 28.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.00 Fair: 1.86 Bet365

+7.53%

Model: 53.6%

Jeddeloh vs Hertha BSC

high

Wed 28th, 17:00

Double Chance

Home Draw

13.00 Fair: 6.46 Bet365

+101.24%

Model: 15.5%

FT Result

Home

34.00 Fair: 17.06 Bet365

+99.3%

Model: 5.9%

HT Result

Home

17.00 Fair: 9.12 Bet365

+86.4%

Model: 11%

FT Result

Draw

15.00 Fair: 10.38 Bet365

+44.51%

Model: 9.6%

HT Result

Draw

4.75 Fair: 3.72 Bet365

+27.69%

Model: 26.9%

BTTS

Yes

1.95 Fair: 1.73 Bet365

+12.72%

Model: 57.8%

Dynamo Dresden vs Schalke 04

high

Wed 28th, 17:00

FT Result

Home

4.01 Fair: 3.16 Pinnacle

+26.9%

Model: 31.7%

HT Result

Home

4.00 Fair: 3.79 Bet365

+5.54%

Model: 26.4%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.28 Fair: 1.26 Bet365

+1.59%

Model: 79.4%

Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart

high

Wed 28th, 17:00

FT Result

Home

5.77 Fair: 3.45 1xBet

+67.25%

Model: 29%

HT Result

Home

5.50 Fair: 4.05 Bet365

+35.8%

Model: 24.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.50 Fair: 2.11 Bet365

+18.48%

Model: 47.4%

BTTS

Yes

1.66 Fair: 1.47 Bet365

+12.93%

Model: 67.8%

SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg

high

Wed 28th, 17:00

HT Result

Away

5.50 Fair: 4.29 Bet365

+28.21%

Model: 23.3%

FT Result

Away

6.30 Fair: 5.14 Betano

+22.57%

Model: 19.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.75 Fair: 2.56 Bet365

+7.42%

Model: 39.1%

FT Result

Draw

5.10 Fair: 5.09 FanDuel

+0.2%

Model: 19.7%

Holstein Kiel vs TSG Hoffenheim

high

Wed 28th, 19:45

FT Result

Home

6.10 Fair: 3.10 Betano

+96.77%

Model: 32.3%

HT Result

Home

5.50 Fair: 3.51 Bet365

+56.7%

Model: 28.5%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.50 Fair: 1.85 Bet365

+35.14%

Model: 54.1%

FT Result

Draw

4.94 Fair: 4.59 Pinnacle

+7.63%

Model: 21.8%

Hannover 96 vs Kaiserslautern

high

Wed 28th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

3.85 Fair: 3.48 Betano

+10.63%

Model: 28.7%

BTTS

No

2.48 Fair: 2.41 Kambi Group

+2.9%

Model: 41.4%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Nürnberg

high

Wed 28th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

18.00 Fair: 3.76 Betfair Exchange

+378.72%

Model: 26.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

5.50 Fair: 2.13 Bet365

+158.22%

Model: 47%

HT Result

Away

10.00 Fair: 4.15 Bet365

+140.96%

Model: 24.1%

FT Result

Draw

9.20 Fair: 4.90 Betfair Exchange

+87.76%

Model: 20.4%

HT Result

Draw

3.50 Fair: 3.06 Bet365

+14.38%

Model: 32.7%

BTTS

Yes

1.75 Fair: 1.57 Bet365

+11.46%

Model: 63.6%

FC Bayern München vs Magdeburg

high

Wed 28th, 19:45

FT Result

Away

80.00 Fair: 6.49 Betfair Exchange

+1132.67%

Model: 15.4%

HT Result

Away

29.00 Fair: 5.76 Bet365

+403.47%

Model: 17.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

15.00 Fair: 3.16 Bet365

+374.68%

Model: 31.6%

FT Result

Draw

24.00 Fair: 6.16 Betfair Exchange

+289.61%

Model: 16.2%

BTTS

Yes

2.62 Fair: 1.63 Bet365

+60.74%

Model: 61.3%

HT Result

Draw

5.50 Fair: 3.53 Bet365

+55.81%

Model: 28.4%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.