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Regionalliga: Nordost Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Regionalliga: Nordost

Find value bets for Regionalliga: Nordost fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Babelsberg vs BFC Dynamo

medium

Wed 1st, 18:00

FT Result

Away

2.87 Fair: 2.73 Bet365

+5.13%

Model: 36.7%

HT Result

Away

3.40 Fair: 3.33 Bet365

+2.1%

Model: 30%

BTTS

Yes

1.66 Fair: 1.63 Bet365

+1.84%

Model: 61.5%

ZFC Meuselwitz vs BFC Preussen

medium

Wed 1st, 18:00

FT Result

Home

2.70 Fair: 2.14 Bet365

+26.17%

Model: 46.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.55 Fair: 1.41 Bet365

+9.93%

Model: 71.1%

HT Result

Home

3.40 Fair: 3.10 Bet365

+9.68%

Model: 32.2%

BTTS

Yes

1.72 Fair: 1.70 Bet365

+1.18%

Model: 58.9%

Hertha Zehlendorf vs Chemie Leipzig

medium

Tue 7th, 18:00

FT Result

Home

2.75 Fair: 2.33 Bet365

+18.03%

Model: 43%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.64 Fair: 1.46 Pinnacle

+12.33%

Model: 68.4%

HT Result

Home

3.40 Fair: 3.29 Bet365

+3.34%

Model: 30.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.28 Fair: 2.24 1xBet

+1.79%

Model: 44.6%

BFC Preussen vs Chemnitzer FC

medium

Wed 8th, 16:00

BTTS

No

2.20 Fair: 2.12 Bet365

+3.77%

Model: 47.1%

Greifswalder FC vs Babelsberg

medium

Wed 8th, 18:00

FT Result

Home

2.00 Fair: 1.82 Bet365

+9.89%

Model: 54.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.30 Fair: 1.28 Bet365

+1.56%

Model: 78.4%

Carl Zeiss Jena vs Zwickau

medium

Wed 8th, 18:00

FT Result

Home

1.83 Fair: 1.65 Bet365

+10.91%

Model: 60.7%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.