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Super League Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Super League

Find value bets for Super League fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Atromitos vs Kalamata

high

Sun 6th, 17:00

FT Result

Away

4.50 Fair: 2.84 Betfair Exchange

+58.45%

Model: 35.2%

HT Result

Away

5.05 Fair: 3.42 Pinnacle

+47.66%

Model: 29.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.95 Fair: 1.58 1xBet

+23.42%

Model: 63.2%

FT Result

Draw

3.81 Fair: 3.57 Pinnacle

+6.72%

Model: 28%

high

Sun 6th, 17:30

FT Result

Away

3.90 Fair: 3.04 Betfair Exchange

+28.29%

Model: 32.9%

HT Result

Away

4.54 Fair: 3.62 1xBet

+25.41%

Model: 27.6%

BTTS

Yes

1.90 Fair: 1.85 Bet365

+2.7%

Model: 54.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.19 Fair: 2.15 Pinnacle

+1.86%

Model: 46.5%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.70 Fair: 1.67 Bet365

+1.8%

Model: 60%

Levadiakos vs Panaitolikos

high

Sun 6th, 18:00

FT Result

Away

4.90 Fair: 3.83 Kambi Group

+27.94%

Model: 26.1%

BTTS

Yes

2.04 Fair: 1.87 Betfair Exchange

+9.09%

Model: 53.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.02 Fair: 1.93 Kambi Group

+4.66%

Model: 51.7%

HT Result

Away

5.38 Fair: 5.29 1xBet

+1.7%

Model: 18.9%

HT Result

Draw

2.21 Fair: 2.20 Pinnacle

+0.45%

Model: 45.5%

Panathinaikos vs PAOK

high

Sun 6th, 19:30

FT Result

Away

3.95 Fair: 3.56 Betfair Exchange

+10.96%

Model: 28.1%

BTTS

No

2.16 Fair: 2.02 Betfair Exchange

+6.93%

Model: 49.5%

FT Result

Home

2.35 Fair: 2.21 Kambi Group

+6.33%

Model: 45.3%

HT Result

Draw

2.31 Fair: 2.20 Pinnacle

+5%

Model: 45.4%

Panathinaikos vs Kifisia

high

Thu 10th, 19:00

FT Result

Away

17.50 Fair: 5.10 Betano

+243.14%

Model: 19.6%

HT Result

Away

11.00 Fair: 5.95 Bet365

+84.87%

Model: 16.8%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.75 Fair: 2.17 Bet365

+72.81%

Model: 46.1%

FT Result

Draw

5.25 Fair: 3.78 Bet365

+38.89%

Model: 26.5%

BTTS

Yes

2.50 Fair: 2.16 Bet365

+15.74%

Model: 46.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.43 Fair: 2.25 Pinnacle

+8%

Model: 44.4%

Olympiacos F.C. vs OFI

high

Sat 12th, 17:00

BTTS

No

1.91 Fair: 1.70 1xBet

+12.35%

Model: 58.8%

FT Result

Draw

5.60 Fair: 5.28 Betano

+6.06%

Model: 18.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.52 Fair: 3.46 1xBet

+1.73%

Model: 28.9%

Kalamata vs Volos NFC

high

Sun 13th, 16:00

FT Result

Home

2.47 Fair: 2.41 1xBet

+2.49%

Model: 41.5%

Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Athens

high

Sun 13th, 17:00

FT Result

Home

7.20 Fair: 5.55 1xBet

+29.73%

Model: 18%

Kifisia vs Levadiakos

high

Sun 13th, 19:00

FT Result

Home

2.76 Fair: 2.55 1xBet

+8.24%

Model: 39.2%

high

Sun 13th, 19:00

FT Result

Away

4.63 Fair: 4.30 1xBet

+7.67%

Model: 23.2%

Panathinaikos vs Panaitolikos

high

Sun 13th, 19:30

FT Result

Away

9.75 Fair: 6.42 1xBet

+51.87%

Model: 15.6%

FT Result

Draw

5.25 Fair: 4.44 1xBet

+18.24%

Model: 22.5%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.