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Besta deild Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Besta deild

Find value bets for Besta deild fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

KA Akureyri vs Víkingur Reykjavík

good

Fri 17th, 18:30

FT Result

Home

4.20 Fair: 2.76 Betfair Exchange

+52.17%

Model: 36.2%

HT Result

Home

4.28 Fair: 3.35 Pinnacle

+27.76%

Model: 29.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.99 Fair: 1.69 1xBet

+17.75%

Model: 59.1%

FT Result

Draw

4.40 Fair: 4.37 Betfair Exchange

+0.69%

Model: 22.9%

KR Reykjavík vs Thór

good

Fri 17th, 18:30

FT Result

Away

4.80 Fair: 3.19 FanDuel

+50.47%

Model: 31.4%

HT Result

Away

4.45 Fair: 3.38 Pinnacle

+31.66%

Model: 29.6%

BTTS

No

3.84 Fair: 3.00 1xBet

+28%

Model: 33.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.41 Fair: 1.91 1xBet

+26.18%

Model: 52.4%

FT Result

Draw

5.11 Fair: 4.76 Pinnacle

+7.35%

Model: 21%

BTTS

Yes

1.56 Fair: 1.50 Betfair Exchange

+4%

Model: 66.7%

HT Result

Draw

3.16 Fair: 3.08 Pinnacle

+2.6%

Model: 32.5%

Fram vs Keflavík

good

Fri 17th, 19:00

FT Result

Away

4.50 Fair: 2.89 FanDuel

+55.71%

Model: 34.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.28 Fair: 1.76 Kambi Group

+29.55%

Model: 56.7%

HT Result

Away

4.60 Fair: 3.73 Kambi Group

+23.32%

Model: 26.8%

FT Result

Draw

4.90 Fair: 4.52 Kambi Group

+8.41%

Model: 22.1%

Breidablik vs ÍA

good

Fri 17th, 19:00

FT Result

Home

2.30 Fair: 2.03 Pinnacle

+13.3%

Model: 49.3%

BTTS

No

3.00 Fair: 2.70 Bet365

+11.11%

Model: 37.1%

HT Result

Home

2.74 Fair: 2.51 Pinnacle

+9.16%

Model: 39.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.41 Fair: 1.40 1xBet

+0.71%

Model: 71.6%

good

Fri 17th, 19:00

FT Result

Home

2.10 Fair: 1.50 Betano

+40%

Model: 66.5%

HT Result

Home

2.56 Fair: 2.13 Pinnacle

+20.19%

Model: 47%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.35 Fair: 1.19 WilliamHill

+13.45%

Model: 83.8%

BTTS

No

2.75 Fair: 2.62 Betano

+4.96%

Model: 38.2%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.25 Fair: 1.21 WilliamHill

+3.31%

Model: 82.7%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.