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Eerste Divisie Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Eerste Divisie

Find value bets for Eerste Divisie fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

VVV-Venlo vs SC Cambuur

medium

Fri 3rd, 19:00

BTTS

No

2.88 Fair: 2.29 Kambi Group

+25.76%

Model: 43.7%

FT Result

Away

1.95 Fair: 1.84 Kambi Group

+5.98%

Model: 54.3%

HT Result

Draw

2.70 Fair: 2.68 WilliamHill

+0.75%

Model: 37.4%

Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport

medium

Fri 3rd, 19:00

HT Result

Away

4.20 Fair: 3.82 Kambi Group

+9.95%

Model: 26.2%

BTTS

No

2.60 Fair: 2.44 Kambi Group

+6.56%

Model: 41%

FT Result

Away

4.10 Fair: 3.97 Kambi Group

+3.27%

Model: 25.2%

MVV Maastricht vs RKC Waalwijk

medium

Fri 3rd, 19:00

HT Result

Home

4.39 Fair: 3.86 Pinnacle

+13.73%

Model: 25.9%

FT Result

Home

4.33 Fair: 3.84 Bet365

+12.76%

Model: 26.1%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.15 Fair: 2.09 Bet365

+2.87%

Model: 47.9%

FC Den Bosch vs Jong FC Utrecht

medium

Fri 3rd, 19:00

BTTS

No

2.75 Fair: 2.39 Kambi Group

+15.06%

Model: 41.8%

FT Result

Home

2.00 Fair: 1.75 Betfair Exchange

+14.29%

Model: 57.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.30 Fair: 1.27 WilliamHill

+2.36%

Model: 78.7%

HT Result

Home

2.45 Fair: 2.42 Pinnacle

+1.24%

Model: 41.3%

Almere City vs TOP Oss

medium

Fri 3rd, 19:00

FT Result

Away

6.50 Fair: 4.56 Kambi Group

+42.54%

Model: 21.9%

HT Result

Away

5.73 Fair: 4.51 Pinnacle

+27.05%

Model: 22.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.68 Fair: 2.22 1xBet

+20.72%

Model: 45%

FT Result

Draw

5.10 Fair: 4.33 Kambi Group

+17.78%

Model: 23.1%

HT Result

Draw

2.88 Fair: 2.55 Kambi Group

+12.94%

Model: 39.2%

BTTS

No

2.50 Fair: 2.29 Kambi Group

+9.17%

Model: 43.7%

ADO Den Haag vs Jong Ajax

medium

Fri 3rd, 19:00

HT Result

Away

11.00 Fair: 6.28 Bet365

+75.16%

Model: 15.9%

FT Result

Away

16.00 Fair: 9.18 Betfair Exchange

+74.29%

Model: 10.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

5.50 Fair: 3.73 Bet365

+47.45%

Model: 26.8%

FT Result

Draw

8.28 Fair: 6.27 Pinnacle

+32.06%

Model: 16%

HT Result

Draw

3.41 Fair: 2.95 Pinnacle

+15.59%

Model: 33.9%

Willem II vs Jong PSV

medium

Fri 3rd, 19:00

FT Result

Away

5.00 Fair: 3.57 Bet365

+40.06%

Model: 28.1%

HT Result

Away

4.74 Fair: 3.83 Pinnacle

+23.76%

Model: 26.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.40 Fair: 1.99 WilliamHill

+20.6%

Model: 50.2%

BTTS

No

3.15 Fair: 2.69 Kambi Group

+17.1%

Model: 37.2%

FT Result

Draw

4.80 Fair: 4.52 Betfair Exchange

+6.19%

Model: 22.1%

HT Result

Draw

2.89 Fair: 2.75 Pinnacle

+5.09%

Model: 36.3%

FC Dordrecht vs Roda JC Kerkrade

medium

Fri 3rd, 19:00

FT Result

Home

2.25 Fair: 2.09 Bet365

+7.66%

Model: 47.8%

HT Result

Home

2.80 Fair: 2.64 Pinnacle

+6.06%

Model: 37.9%

Vitesse vs FC Emmen

medium

Fri 3rd, 19:00

BTTS

No

2.65 Fair: 2.43 Kambi Group

+9.05%

Model: 41.1%

FT Result

Away

3.30 Fair: 3.21 Bet365

+2.8%

Model: 31.1%

FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap

medium

Fri 3rd, 19:00

FT Result

Away

2.40 Fair: 2.13 Bet365

+12.68%

Model: 47%

BTTS

No

3.04 Fair: 2.78 1xBet

+9.35%

Model: 36%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.50 Fair: 1.44 Bet365

+4.17%

Model: 69.6%

HT Result

Away

2.87 Fair: 2.85 Bet365

+0.7%

Model: 35.1%

Helmond Sport vs RKC Waalwijk

medium

Mon 6th, 11:15

FT Result

Home

3.35 Fair: 3.28 Kambi Group

+2.13%

Model: 30.5%

HT Result

Home

3.60 Fair: 3.53 Kambi Group

+1.98%

Model: 28.3%

Almere City vs FC Den Bosch

medium

Mon 6th, 13:30

BTTS

No

2.95 Fair: 2.69 Kambi Group

+9.67%

Model: 37.2%

FT Result

Away

4.00 Fair: 3.79 Kambi Group

+5.54%

Model: 26.4%

HT Result

Away

3.95 Fair: 3.93 Kambi Group

+0.51%

Model: 25.5%

Roda JC Kerkrade vs Willem II

medium

Mon 6th, 15:45

FT Result

Away

3.00 Fair: 2.35 Kambi Group

+27.66%

Model: 42.5%

BTTS

No

2.80 Fair: 2.36 Kambi Group

+18.64%

Model: 42.4%

HT Result

Away

3.35 Fair: 3.04 Kambi Group

+10.2%

Model: 32.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.65 Fair: 1.51 Kambi Group

+9.27%

Model: 66.3%

TOP Oss vs Jong FC Utrecht

medium

Mon 6th, 15:45

BTTS

No

2.60 Fair: 2.32 Kambi Group

+12.07%

Model: 43.1%

FT Result

Home

2.60 Fair: 2.51 Kambi Group

+3.59%

Model: 39.9%

Vitesse vs Jong Ajax

medium

Mon 6th, 15:45

FT Result

Away

4.70 Fair: 4.01 Kambi Group

+17.21%

Model: 25%

BTTS

No

2.65 Fair: 2.31 Kambi Group

+14.72%

Model: 43.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.70 Fair: 2.54 Kambi Group

+6.3%

Model: 39.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.15 Fair: 2.08 Kambi Group

+3.37%

Model: 48.1%

FT Result

Draw

4.40 Fair: 4.31 Kambi Group

+2.09%

Model: 23.2%

HT Result

Away

4.40 Fair: 4.33 Kambi Group

+1.62%

Model: 23.1%

De Graafschap vs Jong AZ

medium

Mon 6th, 15:45

BTTS

No

3.25 Fair: 2.91 Kambi Group

+11.68%

Model: 34.3%

FT Result

Away

3.75 Fair: 3.68 Kambi Group

+1.9%

Model: 27.2%

SC Cambuur vs FC Dordrecht

medium

Mon 6th, 15:45

BTTS

No

2.63 Fair: 2.45 Kambi Group

+7.35%

Model: 40.9%

FT Result

Home

1.67 Fair: 1.65 Kambi Group

+1.21%

Model: 60.6%

ADO Den Haag vs FC Eindhoven

medium

Mon 6th, 15:45

HT Result

Away

5.75 Fair: 5.21 Kambi Group

+10.36%

Model: 19.2%

FT Result

Away

7.00 Fair: 6.69 Kambi Group

+4.63%

Model: 15%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.