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Eerste Divisie Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Eerste Divisie

Find value bets for Eerste Divisie fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

MVV Maastricht vs Roda JC Kerkrade

medium

Sun 6th, 15:45

FT Result

Away

2.26 Fair: 2.20 Betfair Exchange

+2.73%

Model: 45.5%

HT Result

Home

3.73 Fair: 3.66 Pinnacle

+1.91%

Model: 27.3%

FT Result

Home

3.30 Fair: 3.28 Betfair Exchange

+0.61%

Model: 30.5%

Jong PSV vs FC Den Bosch

medium

Mon 7th, 19:00

BTTS

No

3.50 Fair: 2.81 FanDuel

+24.56%

Model: 35.6%

FT Result

Home

2.02 Fair: 1.89 Betano

+6.88%

Model: 53%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.35 Fair: 1.34 WilliamHill

+0.75%

Model: 74.7%

Jong FC Utrecht vs FC Eindhoven

medium

Mon 7th, 19:00

FT Result

Away

2.80 Fair: 2.28 Bet365

+22.81%

Model: 43.8%

HT Result

Away

3.18 Fair: 2.79 Pinnacle

+13.98%

Model: 35.8%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.54 Fair: 1.43 1xBet

+7.69%

Model: 69.8%

BTTS

No

2.70 Fair: 2.53 Kambi Group

+6.72%

Model: 39.5%

FC Emmen vs De Graafschap

medium

Fri 11th, 19:00

BTTS

No

3.32 Fair: 3.16 1xBet

+5.06%

Model: 31.7%

FT Result

Away

2.90 Fair: 2.82 FanDuel

+2.84%

Model: 35.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.75 Fair: 2.74 WilliamHill

+0.36%

Model: 36.5%

Jong Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk

medium

Fri 11th, 19:00

FT Result

Away

1.98 Fair: 1.76 Betano

+12.5%

Model: 56.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.30 Fair: 1.26 WilliamHill

+3.17%

Model: 79.2%

BTTS

No

2.75 Fair: 2.68 WilliamHill

+2.61%

Model: 37.3%

Heracles Almelo vs Jong AZ

medium

Fri 11th, 19:00

FT Result

Away

5.50 Fair: 3.18 FanDuel

+72.96%

Model: 31.5%

HT Result

Away

5.06 Fair: 3.49 Pinnacle

+44.99%

Model: 28.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.58 Fair: 1.82 1xBet

+41.76%

Model: 55%

FT Result

Draw

5.10 Fair: 4.25 FanDuel

+20%

Model: 23.5%

HT Result

Draw

2.99 Fair: 2.66 Pinnacle

+12.41%

Model: 37.5%

VVV-Venlo vs TOP Oss

medium

Fri 11th, 19:00

BTTS

No

2.75 Fair: 2.69 WilliamHill

+2.23%

Model: 37.2%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.