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Eerste Divisie Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Eerste Divisie

Find value bets for Eerste Divisie fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

FC Den Bosch vs MVV Maastricht

medium

Fri 23rd, 19:00

FT Result

Home

1.70 Fair: 1.52 Betfair Exchange

+11.84%

Model: 65.9%

BTTS

No

2.81 Fair: 2.53 1xBet

+11.07%

Model: 39.5%

HT Result

Home

2.20 Fair: 2.09 Bet365

+5.26%

Model: 47.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.22 Fair: 1.20 Bet365

+1.67%

Model: 83.2%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.22 Fair: 1.21 WilliamHill

+0.83%

Model: 82.7%

NAC Breda vs Heracles Almelo

medium

Fri 23rd, 19:00

HT Result

Home

2.75 Fair: 2.31 Bet365

+19.05%

Model: 43.3%

FT Result

Home

2.33 Fair: 2.03 Kambi Group

+14.78%

Model: 49.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.44 Fair: 1.40 Bet365

+2.86%

Model: 71.7%

Vitesse vs FC Emmen

medium

Fri 23rd, 19:00

FT Result

Home

2.45 Fair: 2.39 Betano

+2.51%

Model: 41.9%

De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk

medium

Fri 23rd, 19:00

BTTS

No

3.15 Fair: 2.92 Kambi Group

+7.88%

Model: 34.3%

FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV

medium

Fri 23rd, 19:00

BTTS

No

3.25 Fair: 2.90 Bet365

+12.07%

Model: 34.5%

HT Result

Draw

2.65 Fair: 2.50 Pinnacle

+6%

Model: 40%

FT Result

Away

2.80 Fair: 2.68 Kambi Group

+4.48%

Model: 37.3%

Almere City vs Roda JC Kerkrade

medium

Fri 23rd, 19:00

FT Result

Away

3.90 Fair: 3.86 Betfair Exchange

+1.04%

Model: 25.9%

TOP Oss vs Jong Ajax

medium

Fri 23rd, 19:00

BTTS

No

2.90 Fair: 2.75 Kambi Group

+5.45%

Model: 36.3%

FT Result

Home

2.10 Fair: 2.04 Betano

+2.94%

Model: 49.1%

HT Result

Draw

2.59 Fair: 2.57 Pinnacle

+0.78%

Model: 39%

Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport

medium

Fri 23rd, 19:00

BTTS

No

2.81 Fair: 2.57 1xBet

+9.34%

Model: 38.9%

FT Result

Away

4.40 Fair: 4.18 FanDuel

+5.26%

Model: 23.9%

FT Result

Draw

4.60 Fair: 4.48 Betfair Exchange

+2.68%

Model: 22.3%

FC Volendam vs Jong FC Utrecht

medium

Fri 23rd, 19:00

FT Result

Away

4.60 Fair: 3.78 Kambi Group

+21.69%

Model: 26.5%

HT Result

Away

4.63 Fair: 4.03 Pinnacle

+14.89%

Model: 24.8%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.20 Fair: 2.02 Bet365

+8.91%

Model: 49.4%

FT Result

Draw

4.50 Fair: 4.35 Betfair Exchange

+3.45%

Model: 23%

FC Dordrecht vs VVV-Venlo

medium

Sat 24th, 15:30

FT Result

Home

3.10 Fair: 2.51 Bet365

+23.51%

Model: 39.8%

HT Result

Home

3.49 Fair: 3.13 1xBet

+11.5%

Model: 32%

BTTS

No

3.10 Fair: 2.86 Kambi Group

+8.39%

Model: 35%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.70 Fair: 1.60 Bet365

+6.25%

Model: 62.3%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.