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Eredivisie Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Eredivisie

Find value bets for Eredivisie fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar

good

Fri 23rd, 19:00

BTTS

No

2.62 Fair: 2.22 FanDuel

+18.02%

Model: 45.1%

FT Result

Away

5.60 Fair: 5.24 Betfair Exchange

+6.87%

Model: 19.1%

FT Result

Draw

4.60 Fair: 4.45 Betfair Exchange

+3.37%

Model: 22.5%

FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle

good

Sat 24th, 15:30

BTTS

No

2.52 Fair: 2.16 FanDuel

+16.67%

Model: 46.2%

FT Result

Home

1.69 Fair: 1.68 Betfair Exchange

+0.6%

Model: 59.5%

HT Result

Draw

2.65 Fair: 2.64 Pinnacle

+0.38%

Model: 37.9%

Willem II vs SC Cambuur

good

Sat 24th, 17:45

BTTS

No

2.84 Fair: 2.24 FanDuel

+26.79%

Model: 44.7%

FT Result

Away

2.60 Fair: 2.23 Pinnacle

+16.59%

Model: 44.8%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.51 Fair: 1.43 1xBet

+5.59%

Model: 69.8%

HT Result

Away

3.10 Fair: 3.08 Pinnacle

+0.65%

Model: 32.5%

ADO Den Haag vs SC Heerenveen

good

Sat 24th, 20:00

FT Result

Home

3.45 Fair: 1.92 Pinnacle

+79.69%

Model: 52.1%

HT Result

Home

3.76 Fair: 2.23 Pinnacle

+68.61%

Model: 44.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.80 Fair: 1.36 1xBet

+32.35%

Model: 73.6%

BTTS

No

2.80 Fair: 2.54 Kambi Group

+10.24%

Model: 39.3%

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior

good

Sun 25th, 11:15

FT Result

Away

2.80 Fair: 2.37 Bet365

+18.14%

Model: 42.1%

HT Result

Away

3.24 Fair: 2.82 Pinnacle

+14.89%

Model: 35.4%

BTTS

No

2.70 Fair: 2.44 FanDuel

+10.66%

Model: 41.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.55 Fair: 1.50 1xBet

+3.33%

Model: 66.9%

NEC Nijmegen vs FC Groningen

good

Sun 25th, 13:30

FT Result

Home

2.35 Fair: 1.93 Betano

+21.76%

Model: 51.8%

BTTS

No

2.94 Fair: 2.53 FanDuel

+16.21%

Model: 39.5%

HT Result

Home

2.75 Fair: 2.46 Bet365

+11.79%

Model: 40.7%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.45 Fair: 1.34 1xBet

+8.21%

Model: 74.8%

PSV vs Feyenoord

good

Sun 25th, 13:30

HT Result

Home

2.49 Fair: 2.43 Pinnacle

+2.47%

Model: 41.2%

BTTS

No

3.60 Fair: 3.55 FanDuel

+1.41%

Model: 28.2%

FT Result

Away

3.25 Fair: 3.22 Betfair Exchange

+0.93%

Model: 31%

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax

good

Sun 25th, 15:45

BTTS

No

2.78 Fair: 2.39 FanDuel

+16.32%

Model: 41.9%

FT Result

Home

5.50 Fair: 4.80 Kambi Group

+14.58%

Model: 20.8%

HT Result

Home

4.86 Fair: 4.28 Pinnacle

+13.55%

Model: 23.4%

FT Result

Draw

5.00 Fair: 4.57 Betfair Exchange

+9.41%

Model: 21.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.45 Fair: 2.34 WilliamHill

+4.7%

Model: 42.7%

AZ Alkmaar vs FC Twente

good

Sun 25th, 19:00

BTTS

No

2.92 Fair: 2.22 FanDuel

+31.53%

Model: 45.1%

FT Result

Home

2.32 Fair: 2.07 Betfair Exchange

+12.08%

Model: 48.3%

HT Result

Home

2.75 Fair: 2.51 Pinnacle

+9.56%

Model: 39.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.40 Fair: 1.35 WilliamHill

+3.7%

Model: 74.1%

FT Result

Draw

4.00 Fair: 3.88 Betfair Exchange

+3.09%

Model: 25.8%

Feyenoord vs Fortuna Sittard

good

Sat 31st, 15:30

FT Result

Away

18.00 Fair: 7.97 1xBet

+125.85%

Model: 12.6%

FT Result

Draw

10.20 Fair: 5.89 1xBet

+73.17%

Model: 17%

Double Chance

Draw Away

5.50 Fair: 3.39 Bet365

+62.24%

Model: 29.5%

HT Result

Away

10.00 Fair: 9.44 Bet365

+5.93%

Model: 10.6%

HT Result

Draw

3.50 Fair: 3.33 Bet365

+5.11%

Model: 30.1%

PSV vs Willem II

good

Sat 31st, 17:45

FT Result

Away

38.00 Fair: 12.97 1xBet

+192.98%

Model: 7.7%

FT Result

Draw

18.50 Fair: 6.43 1xBet

+187.71%

Model: 15.6%

Double Chance

Draw Away

10.00 Fair: 4.30 Bet365

+132.56%

Model: 23.3%

HT Result

Away

15.00 Fair: 8.58 Bet365

+74.83%

Model: 11.7%

HT Result

Draw

4.33 Fair: 4.20 Bet365

+3.1%

Model: 23.8%

SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen

good

Sat 31st, 17:45

BTTS

No

2.75 Fair: 2.45 Bet365

+12.24%

Model: 40.8%

Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar

good

Sat 31st, 20:00

HT Result

Home

2.37 Fair: 2.00 Bet365

+18.5%

Model: 50%

FT Result

Home

1.90 Fair: 1.76 Betano

+7.95%

Model: 56.7%

BTTS

No

2.81 Fair: 2.64 1xBet

+6.44%

Model: 37.9%

SC Cambuur vs Go Ahead Eagles

good

Sat 31st, 20:00

FT Result

Home

3.30 Fair: 2.08 Betano

+58.65%

Model: 48.1%

HT Result

Home

3.50 Fair: 2.47 Bet365

+41.7%

Model: 40.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.80 Fair: 1.37 Bet365

+31.39%

Model: 72.8%

BTTS

No

2.75 Fair: 2.28 Bet365

+20.61%

Model: 44%

PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag

good

Sun 1st, 11:15

FT Result

Away

2.95 Fair: 2.32 Betano

+27.16%

Model: 43.2%

HT Result

Away

3.25 Fair: 2.96 Bet365

+9.8%

Model: 33.8%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.61 Fair: 1.49 Bet365

+8.05%

Model: 66.9%

BTTS

No

2.50 Fair: 2.46 Bet365

+1.63%

Model: 40.6%

Excelsior vs FC Twente

good

Sun 1st, 13:30

BTTS

No

2.50 Fair: 2.14 Bet365

+16.82%

Model: 46.7%

HT Result

Home

5.00 Fair: 4.63 Bet365

+7.99%

Model: 21.6%

FT Result

Draw

4.69 Fair: 4.37 1xBet

+7.32%

Model: 22.9%

FT Result

Home

5.40 Fair: 5.20 FanDuel

+3.85%

Model: 19.2%

Telstar vs FC Utrecht

good

Sun 1st, 13:30

BTTS

No

2.69 Fair: 2.29 1xBet

+17.47%

Model: 43.7%

HT Result

Home

3.20 Fair: 2.96 Bet365

+8.11%

Model: 33.8%

HT Result

Draw

2.50 Fair: 2.44 Bet365

+2.46%

Model: 40.9%

FT Result

Home

2.80 Fair: 2.75 Betano

+1.82%

Model: 36.4%

FC Groningen vs Sparta Rotterdam

good

Sun 1st, 15:45

FT Result

Away

5.30 Fair: 3.94 Betano

+34.52%

Model: 25.4%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.37 Fair: 2.08 Bet365

+13.94%

Model: 48.2%

HT Result

Away

4.75 Fair: 4.44 Bet365

+6.98%

Model: 22.5%

FT Result

Draw

4.64 Fair: 4.39 1xBet

+5.69%

Model: 22.8%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.