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Eredivisie Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Eredivisie

Find value bets for Eredivisie fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

FC Groningen vs FC Twente

good

Sun 6th, 11:15

BTTS

No

2.94 Fair: 2.42 Betfair Exchange

+21.49%

Model: 41.3%

FT Result

Home

3.50 Fair: 3.34 Betfair Exchange

+4.79%

Model: 29.9%

HT Result

Home

3.77 Fair: 3.68 Pinnacle

+2.45%

Model: 27.2%

FT Result

Draw

4.00 Fair: 3.94 Betfair Exchange

+1.52%

Model: 25.4%

Telstar vs SC Cambuur

good

Sun 6th, 13:30

FT Result

Away

5.00 Fair: 2.44 Betfair Exchange

+104.92%

Model: 41%

HT Result

Away

4.96 Fair: 2.84 Pinnacle

+74.65%

Model: 35.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.27 Fair: 1.55 1xBet

+46.45%

Model: 64.4%

FT Result

Draw

4.70 Fair: 4.28 Betfair Exchange

+9.81%

Model: 23.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.76 Fair: 2.58 Pinnacle

+6.98%

Model: 38.7%

BTTS

No

2.70 Fair: 2.61 Betfair Exchange

+3.45%

Model: 38.3%

SC Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar

good

Sun 6th, 13:30

FT Result

Home

4.10 Fair: 3.29 Betfair Exchange

+24.62%

Model: 30.4%

HT Result

Home

4.17 Fair: 3.86 Pinnacle

+8.03%

Model: 25.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.01 Fair: 1.91 1xBet

+5.24%

Model: 52.3%

BTTS

No

2.90 Fair: 2.81 FanDuel

+3.2%

Model: 35.6%

ADO Den Haag vs Fortuna Sittard

good

Sun 6th, 15:45

HT Result

Home

2.60 Fair: 2.06 Bet365

+26.21%

Model: 48.6%

BTTS

No

3.00 Fair: 2.41 FanDuel

+24.48%

Model: 41.6%

FT Result

Home

2.06 Fair: 1.81 Betfair Exchange

+13.81%

Model: 55.4%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.36 Fair: 1.31 Bet365

+3.82%

Model: 76.6%

NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior

good

Tue 8th, 17:45

FT Result

Away

6.00 Fair: 3.64 Betfair Exchange

+64.84%

Model: 27.5%

HT Result

Away

5.30 Fair: 3.89 Pinnacle

+36.25%

Model: 25.7%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.63 Fair: 1.97 Kambi Group

+33.5%

Model: 50.9%

FT Result

Draw

4.90 Fair: 4.27 Betfair Exchange

+14.75%

Model: 23.4%

HT Result

Draw

2.92 Fair: 2.74 Pinnacle

+6.57%

Model: 36.4%

FC Twente vs Telstar

good

Wed 9th, 17:45

FT Result

Away

9.50 Fair: 5.05 Kambi Group

+88.12%

Model: 19.8%

Double Chance

Draw Away

3.60 Fair: 2.57 Kambi Group

+40.08%

Model: 38.9%

FT Result

Draw

6.00 Fair: 5.24 FanDuel

+14.5%

Model: 19.1%

HT Result

Away

7.00 Fair: 6.81 Bet365

+2.79%

Model: 14.7%

BTTS

Yes

1.70 Fair: 1.66 Kambi Group

+2.41%

Model: 60.1%

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II

good

Fri 11th, 19:00

FT Result

Away

19.50 Fair: 6.53 1xBet

+198.62%

Model: 15.3%

Double Chance

Draw Away

6.15 Fair: 2.61 1xBet

+135.63%

Model: 38.3%

HT Result

Away

12.00 Fair: 5.31 Bet365

+125.99%

Model: 18.8%

FT Result

Draw

9.45 Fair: 4.36 1xBet

+116.74%

Model: 22.9%

HT Result

Draw

3.40 Fair: 2.55 Bet365

+33.33%

Model: 39.2%

FC Twente vs ADO Den Haag

good

Sat 12th, 15:30

FT Result

Away

12.50 Fair: 4.75 1xBet

+163.16%

Model: 21.1%

HT Result

Away

8.60 Fair: 4.98 1xBet

+72.69%

Model: 20.1%

Double Chance

Draw Away

4.10 Fair: 2.38 1xBet

+72.27%

Model: 42%

FT Result

Draw

6.50 Fair: 4.78 FanDuel

+35.98%

Model: 20.9%

HT Result

Draw

3.10 Fair: 2.99 Bet365

+3.68%

Model: 33.4%

BTTS

Yes

1.75 Fair: 1.72 Bet365

+1.74%

Model: 58.2%

Go Ahead Eagles vs FC Groningen

good

Sat 12th, 17:45

FT Result

Home

2.36 Fair: 2.11 1xBet

+11.85%

Model: 47.5%

BTTS

No

2.78 Fair: 2.64 FanDuel

+5.3%

Model: 37.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.46 Fair: 1.39 1xBet

+5.04%

Model: 71.7%

Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax

good

Sat 12th, 19:00

BTTS

No

2.44 Fair: 2.27 FanDuel

+7.49%

Model: 44.2%

FT Result

Home

6.00 Fair: 5.89 Kambi Group

+1.87%

Model: 17%

SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen

good

Sat 12th, 20:00

FT Result

Home

5.90 Fair: 3.42 FanDuel

+72.51%

Model: 29.2%

HT Result

Home

5.50 Fair: 3.63 Bet365

+51.52%

Model: 27.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.69 Fair: 1.87 1xBet

+43.85%

Model: 53.5%

FT Result

Draw

5.10 Fair: 4.11 Betano

+24.09%

Model: 24.3%

BTTS

No

2.54 Fair: 2.19 FanDuel

+15.98%

Model: 45.6%

HT Result

Draw

2.75 Fair: 2.74 Bet365

+0.36%

Model: 36.5%

Excelsior vs FC Utrecht

good

Sun 13th, 11:15

FT Result

Away

2.47 Fair: 2.38 1xBet

+3.78%

Model: 42%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.50 Fair: 1.47 Bet365

+2.04%

Model: 67.8%

SC Heerenveen vs Telstar

good

Sun 13th, 13:30

FT Result

Away

4.05 Fair: 3.49 1xBet

+16.05%

Model: 28.7%

PEC Zwolle vs Feyenoord

good

Sun 13th, 15:45

BTTS

No

2.37 Fair: 2.12 Bet365

+11.79%

Model: 47.2%

PSV vs Sparta Rotterdam

good

Sun 13th, 19:00

FT Result

Away

11.70 Fair: 5.02 1xBet

+133.07%

Model: 19.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

4.33 Fair: 2.46 Bet365

+76.02%

Model: 40.7%

FT Result

Draw

7.88 Fair: 4.81 Pinnacle

+63.83%

Model: 20.8%

HT Result

Away

8.00 Fair: 5.27 Bet365

+51.8%

Model: 19%

HT Result

Draw

3.40 Fair: 3.34 Bet365

+1.8%

Model: 30%

Ajax vs Willem II

good

Tue 15th, 19:00

FT Result

Away

17.00 Fair: 7.73 1xBet

+119.92%

Model: 12.9%

Double Chance

Draw Away

5.50 Fair: 3.07 Bet365

+79.15%

Model: 32.6%

FT Result

Draw

8.35 Fair: 5.09 1xBet

+64.05%

Model: 19.6%

HT Result

Away

11.00 Fair: 6.91 Bet365

+59.19%

Model: 14.5%

HT Result

Draw

3.25 Fair: 2.91 Bet365

+11.68%

Model: 34.4%

BTTS

Yes

1.95 Fair: 1.90 Bet365

+2.63%

Model: 52.7%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.