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  1. Football Leagues
  2. Nigeria
  3. Npfl
  4. Profit

Betting on Npfl

Profit Calculator — Pre-Match & In-Play with Alerts

Betting Profit: Npfl

This page will show you how profitable betting on the Npfl in Nigeria has been over the past 18 months. The page places £10 bets on every market using pre-match and peak in-play odds from Bet365 and shows you the long-term results and profitability — including what you could have won betting in-play at the best available odds.

All @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
298 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-71
186/298 won
 62.42% £-195.5
75/168 won (44.64%)
Draw £-421
78/298 won
 26.17% £-1025.8
26/207 won (12.56%)
Away Win £-1117.9
37/298 won
 12.42% £-1219
18/239 won (7.53%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2024/2025 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
298 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £37.3
13/15 won
 86.67% £18.3
4/5 won (80%)
Draw £-117.5
1/15 won
 6.67% £-59.4
1/10 won (10%)
Away Win £-122
1/15 won
 6.67% £-100
0/10 won (0%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2025/2026 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
298 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-33.6
137/222 won
 61.71% £-133.1
59/131 won (45.04%)
Draw £-335
57/222 won
 25.68% £-672.7
23/160 won (14.38%)
Away Win £-739.9
28/222 won
 12.61% £-940.3
14/183 won (7.65%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

2026/2027 @ £10 Stakes

Alert fires on meaningful drift — e.g. 2.00 → 2.50. Good balance.
Market Pre-Match
298 games		 Hit % With Alerts
Home Win £-74.7
36/61 won
 59.02% £-80.7
12/32 won (37.5%)
Draw £31.5
20/61 won
 32.79% £-293.7
2/37 won (5.41%)
Away Win £-256
8/61 won
 13.11% £-178.7
4/46 won (8.7%)
Pre-Match bets £10 on every game using closing Bet365 odds. With Alerts only bets on games where the in-play odds drifted above the threshold — e.g. at +25%, a 2.00 pre-match market only triggers if odds reach 2.50 in-play. You bet at the trigger price, not the peak.

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How does "With Alerts" work?

During a match, odds drift as the game unfolds. If Man City are 1.40 pre-match and it's 0-0 at 60 minutes, the odds might drift to 2.00. With OddAlerts, you'd get a notification when the odds increase past your threshold.

The alert threshold determines how much the odds need to move before you bet:

  • +10% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.20. More bets, smaller edge.
  • +25% — 2.00 → triggers at 2.50. Good balance.
  • +50% — 2.00 → triggers at 3.00. Fewer bets, bigger odds.
  • +100% — 2.00 → triggers at 4.00. Only major drifts.

You only bet on games where the alert actually fires. Games where odds don't move enough are skipped entirely.

How is profit calculated?

Pre-Match: £10 bet on every game using closing Bet365 odds.

With Alerts: £10 bet only on games where in-play odds drifted past the threshold. You bet at the trigger price. Games that didn't trigger an alert are not counted.