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CONCACAF Nations League Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for CONCACAF Nations League

Find value bets for CONCACAF Nations League fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

British Virgin Islands vs Montserrat

good

Thu 1st, 20:00

FT Result

Home

16.00 Fair: 4.93 Betfair Exchange

+224.54%

Model: 20.3%

HT Result

Home

12.00 Fair: 6.69 WilliamHill

+79.37%

Model: 14.9%

Double Chance

Home Draw

4.15 Fair: 2.54 1xBet

+63.39%

Model: 39.4%

FT Result

Draw

6.60 Fair: 5.24 Betfair Exchange

+25.95%

Model: 19.1%

BTTS

Yes

2.38 Fair: 2.08 Bet365

+14.42%

Model: 48.1%

US Virgin Islands vs Saint Martin

good

Thu 1st, 21:00

FT Result

Home

9.60 Fair: 5.86 Betfair Exchange

+63.82%

Model: 17.1%

HT Result

Home

7.95 Fair: 6.20 1xBet

+28.23%

Model: 16.1%

Double Chance

Home Draw

3.50 Fair: 3.14 Bet365

+11.46%

Model: 31.8%

BTTS

Yes

1.87 Fair: 1.79 Betfair Exchange

+4.47%

Model: 55.7%

Dominica vs Guyana

good

Thu 1st, 22:00

FT Result

Home

15.50 Fair: 4.15 Betfair Exchange

+273.49%

Model: 24.1%

HT Result

Home

11.00 Fair: 3.90 Bet365

+182.05%

Model: 25.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

3.78 Fair: 2.27 1xBet

+66.52%

Model: 44%

BTTS

Yes

2.30 Fair: 1.84 Betfair Exchange

+25%

Model: 54.3%

FT Result

Draw

5.90 Fair: 5.02 FanDuel

+17.53%

Model: 19.9%

Curacao vs Trinidad and Tobago

good

Thu 1st, 23:00

HT Result

Home

2.20 Fair: 1.95 Bet365

+12.82%

Model: 51.3%

FT Result

Away

5.80 Fair: 5.52 Betfair Exchange

+5.07%

Model: 18.1%

FT Result

Home

1.67 Fair: 1.60 Betano

+4.37%

Model: 62.5%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.25 Fair: 1.24 WilliamHill

+0.81%

Model: 80.6%

BTTS

No

1.91 Fair: 1.90 WilliamHill

+0.53%

Model: 52.6%

Dominican Republic vs Haiti

good

Fri 2nd, 01:00

HT Result

Home

3.67 Fair: 2.00 1xBet

+83.5%

Model: 50%

FT Result

Home

3.10 Fair: 1.71 Pinnacle

+81.29%

Model: 58.6%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.66 Fair: 1.27 Bet365

+30.71%

Model: 78.7%

BTTS

No

2.52 Fair: 2.21 Betfair Exchange

+14.03%

Model: 45.3%

Double Chance

Home Away

1.30 Fair: 1.25 WilliamHill

+4%

Model: 79.8%

Cayman Islands vs Puerto Rico

good

Fri 2nd, 01:00

FT Result

Home

41.00 Fair: 3.96 FanDuel

+935.35%

Model: 25.3%

HT Result

Home

34.00 Fair: 5.17 Bet365

+557.64%

Model: 19.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

10.00 Fair: 2.11 Bet365

+373.93%

Model: 47.3%

FT Result

Draw

11.00 Fair: 4.53 FanDuel

+142.83%

Model: 22.1%

BTTS

Yes

4.00 Fair: 1.91 Bet365

+109.42%

Model: 52.3%

HT Result

Draw

3.40 Fair: 2.80 Bet365

+21.43%

Model: 35.7%

Nicaragua vs Costa Rica

good

Fri 2nd, 03:00

FT Result

Home

5.70 Fair: 2.95 Betfair Exchange

+93.22%

Model: 33.9%

HT Result

Home

5.75 Fair: 3.96 Pinnacle

+45.2%

Model: 25.3%

Double Chance

Home Draw

2.21 Fair: 1.68 1xBet

+31.55%

Model: 59.7%

BTTS

Yes

1.94 Fair: 1.92 Betfair Exchange

+1.04%

Model: 52.2%

FT Result

Draw

3.90 Fair: 3.88 FanDuel

+0.52%

Model: 25.8%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.