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Division 1 Value Bets

Find EV Betting Opportunities

Value Bets for Division 1

Find value bets for Division 1 fixtures. We compare our probability model against bookmaker odds to identify bets where the odds are higher than our implied probability suggests.

Rubio Ñú vs Guaraní

poor

Wed 1st, 22:30

FT Result

Home

3.85 Fair: 3.16 Pinnacle

+21.84%

Model: 31.6%

HT Result

Home

4.50 Fair: 3.83 1xBet

+17.49%

Model: 26.1%

BTTS

No

1.88 Fair: 1.79 Kambi Group

+5.03%

Model: 55.8%

Double Chance

Home Draw

1.66 Fair: 1.59 Bet365

+4.4%

Model: 63%

Sportivo Trinidense vs Olimpia

poor

Thu 2nd, 00:30

HT Result

Home

4.88 Fair: 4.27 Pinnacle

+14.29%

Model: 23.4%

BTTS

No

1.93 Fair: 1.87 Betfair Exchange

+3.21%

Model: 53.5%

FT Result

Home

4.50 Fair: 4.39 Betfair Exchange

+2.51%

Model: 22.8%

Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo San Lorenzo

poor

Sun 5th, 00:30

FT Result

Away

3.89 Fair: 3.36 Pinnacle

+15.77%

Model: 29.8%

HT Result

Away

4.50 Fair: 4.13 Pinnacle

+8.96%

Model: 24.2%

Double Chance

Draw Away

1.75 Fair: 1.69 WilliamHill

+3.55%

Model: 59.2%

HT Result

Draw

2.15 Fair: 2.11 Pinnacle

+1.9%

Model: 47.4%

BTTS

No

1.94 Fair: 1.91 Kambi Group

+1.57%

Model: 52.4%

Cerro Porteño vs 2 de Mayo

poor

Sun 5th, 00:30

HT Result

Away

7.21 Fair: 5.38 Pinnacle

+34.01%

Model: 18.6%

FT Result

Away

7.05 Fair: 5.54 1xBet

+27.26%

Model: 18%

Double Chance

Draw Away

2.55 Fair: 2.36 1xBet

+8.05%

Model: 42.4%

BTTS

Yes

2.20 Fair: 2.14 Bet365

+2.8%

Model: 46.7%

What is a Value Bet?

A value bet exists when the bookmaker's odds are higher than our calculated fair odds (implied from probability). This means the bookmaker is offering better odds than the true probability suggests.

How We Calculate Value

We convert our probability model's prediction into implied odds using: Fair Odds = 100 / Probability%

For example, if we give a 50% chance to an outcome, the fair odds would be 2.00. If the bookmaker offers 2.20, that's a +10% value bet.

Value % Explained

0-5% - Small value edge
5-10% - Good value
10%+ - Strong value

More Value Bets

Looking for value bets across all leagues? Visit our main Value Bets page for comprehensive coverage.